Sunday , 16 August 2026

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
22 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC A 4–1 W
18 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
15 Feb Wigan Athletic FC H 4–0 W
12 Feb Brentford FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Sunderland AFC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb Hull City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
07 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
31 Jan West Ham United FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Chelsea FC
#8 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Chelsea FC are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC49% Draw32% Chelsea FC19%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Chelsea FC
51%
Arsenal FC or Chelsea FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC27% Draw60% Chelsea FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.4%
1 – 0
19%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
2.2%
2 – 2
2%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 26% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
56%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.