Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki FrontaleJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
11 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–3 L
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
09 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–5 L
20 Jul Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
05 Jul Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W
29 Jun Tokyo Verdy A 0–1 L
25 Jun Albirex Niigata H 3–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erison suffering a number of foals already.
  • 7' Eiji Shirai puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuto Ozeki, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' It looks surprising Kawasaki Frontale does not make any changes. Hiroto Uemura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcinho on 45.
  • 46' Goal! Tatsuya Ito scores his 15 goal in 268 matches.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Ryuga Tashiro gets a card.
  • 57' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 57 minute. Matheus Moraes leaves to be changed by Takuya Shimamura.
  • 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Kawasaki Frontale. Marcinho is replaced by Yuto Ozeki.
  • 68' The travelling Kawasaki Frontale supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 72' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Hiroto Uemura by Taiki Arai on 72 minute.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Kento Tachibanada is replaced by So Kawahara on 77 minute.
  • 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Motoki Hasegawa is replaced by Ken Yamura on 83 minute.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Yuki Yamamoto.
  • 86' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Erison departs to be replaced by Soma Kanda.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Hiroto Noda. He replaces Tatsuya Ito on 87 minute.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Kawasaki Frontale 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata32% Draw28% Kawasaki Frontale40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
61%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
68%
Albirex Niigata or Kawasaki Frontale
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% Kawasaki Frontale31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
23%
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.