Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 23 Sep 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
31 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
23 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
16 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yoshiaki Takagi on 10 minutes.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Haruya Fujii made 449 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Fumiya Hayakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 40' Yoshiaki Takagi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' Taiki Arai has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Katsuhiro Nakayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuhei Tokumoto on 57 minute.
  • 61' Abdelrahman Saidi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoshiaki Takagi at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuki Nogami on 73.
  • 73' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Kaito Taniguchi departs to be replaced by Jin Okumura.
  • 74' Albirex Niigata make a change. Taiki Arai trudges off to be replaced by Hiroto Uemura on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' It’s high time Toru Irie made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' The whistle greets Motoki Hasegawa as he departs to be replaced by Yamato Wakatsuki.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata29% Draw34% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata18% Draw57% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
45% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.