Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.
- Auckland FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alireza Faghani
- Referee
7 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Dec | Western United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Western United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Auckland FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 42 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 44 |
| 29 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +11 |
| 1.62 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Mt Smart Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Auckland FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Luis Gallegos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Auckland FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Reno Piscopo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' Jordi Valadon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Auckland FC so far.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tommy Smith suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Auckland FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Clarismario on, Kasey Bos off on 63 minutes.
- 66' Louis Verstraete was booked on 66.
- 71' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Nishan Velupillay scoring 1 goals.
- 74' The crowd applauds Bruno Fornaroli as he leaves the pitch. Nikolaos Vergos steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 77' William Gillion makes way for Logan Rogerson at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Auckland FC.
- 82' Guillermo May Bartesaghi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
- 83' Auckland FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Mata is hanging Jake Brimmer on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' The crowd applauds Adama Traore as he leaves the pitch. Joshua Rawlins steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Auckland FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Max Mata 83'
- 6
- 5
- 4
- 12
-
25
Neyder Moreno ↓ Jesse Randall 77'
- 10
- 15
- 28
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 3
-
27
Logan Rogerson ↑ 77'
- 17
-
9
Max Mata ↑ 83'
-
21
Jesse Randall ↑ 77'
- 18
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Jing Reec 85'
- 10
- 27
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Joshua Rawlins 85'
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 14
-
28
Kasey Bos ↓ Clarismario 63'
Bench
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 85'
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 63'
- 18
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 85'
- 30
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 74'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 63'
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nishan Velupillay | 1 |
| Franco Lino | 1 |
| Lachlan Brook | 1 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 1 |
| Louis Verstraete | 1 |
| Guillermo May Bartesaghi | 1 |
Head to Head
Auckland FC Form
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–4
Auckland FC
W
2024-12-21
Auckland FC
0–4
Western United FC
L
2024-12-15
Melbourne City FC
2–2
Auckland FC
D
2024-12-07
Auckland FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-11-30
Auckland FC
2–0
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-12-21
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2024-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2024-12-01
Western United FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Auckland FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Auckland FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
59%
Auckland FC or Melbourne Victory FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Auckland FC
| Handicap | Auckland FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.