Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.
- Auckland FC 26 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alireza Faghani
- Referee
20 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 6.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Dec | Western United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | Western United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Auckland FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 42 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 44 |
| 29 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +11 |
| 1.62 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
Auckland FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Auckland FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Auckland FC
| Sam Cosgrove | 12 G | 4 A |
| Jesse Randall | 9 G | 8 A |
| Lachlan Brook | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo May Bartesaghi | 6 G | 4 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mt Smart Stadium!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Auckland FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Auckland FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Adama Traore is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
- 60' Jason Geria is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Auckland FC tonight.
- 63' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Kasey Bos is replaced by Clarismario.
- 66' It’s a booking for Auckland FC player. Louis Verstraete gets a card.
- 71' Australia international Ryan Teague has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' Nikolaos Vergos is replacing Bruno Fornaroli for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 77' A tactical swap from Auckland FC — Logan Rogerson on, William Gillion off on 77 minutes.
- 82' Kasey Bos has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 83' Max Mata is replacing Jake Brimmer for the Auckland FC side.
- 85' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Adama Traore is withdrawn and Joshua Rawlins gets his opportunity.
- 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Auckland FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Max Mata 83'
- 6
- 5
- 4
- 12
-
25
Neyder Moreno ↓ Jesse Randall 77'
- 10
- 15
- 28
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 3
-
27
Logan Rogerson ↑ 77'
- 17
-
9
Max Mata ↑ 83'
-
21
Jesse Randall ↑ 77'
- 18
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Jing Reec 85'
- 10
- 27
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Joshua Rawlins 85'
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 14
-
28
Kasey Bos ↓ Clarismario 63'
Bench
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 85'
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 63'
- 18
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 85'
- 30
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 74'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 63'
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Cosgrove | 1 |
| Louis Verstraete | 1 |
| Guillermo May Bartesaghi | 1 |
| Nishan Velupillay | 1 |
| Franco Lino | 1 |
| Lachlan Brook | 1 |
Head to Head
Auckland FC Form
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–4
Auckland FC
W
2024-12-21
Auckland FC
0–4
Western United FC
L
2024-12-15
Melbourne City FC
2–2
Auckland FC
D
2024-12-07
Auckland FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-11-30
Auckland FC
2–0
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-12-21
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2024-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2024-12-01
Western United FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Auckland FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Auckland FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
59%
Auckland FC or Melbourne Victory FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Auckland FC
| Handicap | Auckland FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.