Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 33' Jack Clisby

Y 41' Oscar Priestman

Jordi Valadon 75' Y

Y 76' Alex Badolato

Y 90' Nicolas Milanovic

Y 90' Jesse Cameron

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 games · 21 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Lachlan Keevers

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.5 goals Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-10-15 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W
01 Dec	Western United FC	A	3–1	W

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	2–3	L
27 Dec	Adelaide United FC	A	3–2	W
22 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	4–1	W
14 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–2	D
30 Nov	Melbourne City FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#4	Position	#12
40	Points	21
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 15
44	Scored	27
33	Conceded	43
+11	GD	-16
1.54	PPG	0.81
42%	Win %	19%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

19% Clean Sheets
Western Sydney Wanderers FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

–/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Bozhidar Kraev	5 G	2 A
Ryan Fraser	4 G	3 A
Brandon Borrello	4 G	2 A
Kosta Barbarouses	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Melbourne Victory FC is hosting Western Sydney Wanderers FC for another epic battle.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jordi Valadon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Western Sydney Wanderers FC winning 50% of all matches.
25' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' Brilliant from the ! Roderick Miranda makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 29.
33' It’s gonna be a card for Jack Clisby.
38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
41' The referee has no hesitation. Oscar Priestman is booked for Western Sydney Wanderers FC — card on 41.
45' Aydan Hammond makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Western Sydney Wanderers FC are in front.
50' Brandon Borrello has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
55' Jing Reec has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 208 appearances.
57' Another substitution for Western Sydney Wanderers FC to replace Joshua Brillante by Aidan Simmons on 57 minute.
62' Time for substitution for Western Sydney Wanderers FC. Aydan Hammond is replaced by Bozhidar Kraev.
67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
71' Nishan Velupillay gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Daniel Arzani and will look to change the dynamic.
75' It’s gonna be a card for Jordi Valadon.
76' The deadlock is broken! Nicolas Milanovic gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
76' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Badolato.
79' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Clarismario comes on to replace Bruno Fornaroli.
84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
87' GOAL! Ryan Teague scores on 87.
90' Nicolas Milanovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' Western Sydney Wanderers FC ring the changes. Jack Clisby has done his job and it is now time for Jesse Cameron to step up.
It finishes all square. Melbourne Victory FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 57'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Nishan Velupillay 71'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Clarismario 79'
3
Adama Traore
6
Ryan Teague
25
Jack Duncan
2
Jason Geria
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 79'
19
Jing Reec ↓ Reno Piscopo 57'

Bench

27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 57'
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 71'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 79'
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 57'
11
Clarismario ↑ 79'

Coach Arthur Diles

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Marcus Antonsson ↑ 62'
23
Bozhidar Kraev ↑ 62'
30
Jordan Holmes
10
Alex Badolato ↑ 57'
31
Aidan Simmons ↑ 57'
27
James Temelkovski
41
Jesse Cameron ↑ 90'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	4
Ola Toivonen	4
Marcus Antonsson	3
Nicolas Milanovic	3
Graham Dorrans	2
Daniel Arzani	2
Tomislav Mrcela	2
Ben Folami	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Form

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–3 Macarthur FC L 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2024-12-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-11-30 Melbourne City FC 0–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.05 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC47% Draw25% Western Sydney Wanderers FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC

53%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw40% Western Sydney Wanderers FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.3%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	20%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.