Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 33' Jack Clisby

Y 41' Oscar Priestman

Jordi Valadon 75' Y

Y 76' Alex Badolato

Y 90' Nicolas Milanovic

Y 90' Jesse Cameron

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Lachlan Keevers

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 17 games · Avg 3.5 goals Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-10-15 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W
01 Dec	Western United FC	A	3–1	W

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	2–3	L
27 Dec	Adelaide United FC	A	3–2	W
22 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	4–1	W
14 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–2	D
30 Nov	Melbourne City FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#4	Position	#12
40	Points	21
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 15
44	Scored	27
33	Conceded	43
+11	GD	-16
1.54	PPG	0.81
42%	Win %	19%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Western Sydney Wanderers FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Western Sydney Wanderers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Western Sydney Wanderers FC winning 50% of all matches.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Diles might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
29' What composure from Roderick Miranda! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
33' The referee calls foul for Jack Clisby. He receives a card.
38' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Western Sydney Wanderers FC backline.
41' Oscar Priestman was booked on 41.
45' What a moment for Aydan Hammond! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus Antonsson, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brandon Borrello is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
57' Western Sydney Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aidan Simmons is hanging Joshua Brillante on the field on 57 minute.
62' It is a substitution in Western Sydney Wanderers FC team. Aydan Hammond is replaced by Bozhidar Kraev on 62 minute.
67' It’s high time Arthur Diles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
71' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Daniel Arzani is replaced by Nishan Velupillay.
75' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Jordi Valadon gets a card.
76' Against the run of play, Nicolas Milanovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
76' Controversy at the stadium! Alex Badolato argues furiously but the card stands.
79' Clarismario has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Fornaroli on 79 minute.
84' Daniel Arzani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
87' Ryan Teague adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Milanovic.
90' Jesse Cameron has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Clisby on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 57'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Nishan Velupillay 71'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Clarismario 79'
3
Adama Traore
6
Ryan Teague
25
Jack Duncan
2
Jason Geria
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 79'
19
Jing Reec ↓ Reno Piscopo 57'

Bench

27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 57'
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 71'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 79'
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 57'
11
Clarismario ↑ 79'

Coach Arthur Diles

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Marcus Antonsson ↑ 62'
23
Bozhidar Kraev ↑ 62'
30
Jordan Holmes
10
Alex Badolato ↑ 57'
31
Aidan Simmons ↑ 57'
27
James Temelkovski
41
Jesse Cameron ↑ 90'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	4
Ola Toivonen	4
Marcus Antonsson	3
Nicolas Milanovic	3
Brandon Borrello	2
Aydan Hammond	2
Graham Dorrans	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Form

2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–3 Macarthur FC L 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2024-12-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-12-14 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-11-30 Melbourne City FC 0–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.05 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC47% Draw25% Western Sydney Wanderers FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC

53%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw40% Western Sydney Wanderers FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.3%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	20%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.