Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2021-22
Sat 2 Apr 2022 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC37% Draw29% Melbourne Victory FC34%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
63%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC27% Draw47% Melbourne Victory FC26%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.