Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sun 11 Dec 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec Melbourne Victory FC H 0–1 L
13 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–4 L
29 Oct Sydney FC H 2–3 L
21 Oct Western United FC A 1–1 D
16 Oct Adelaide United FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory FC
#7 Position #4
34 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
37 Scored 44
44 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.31 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Macarthur FC to score. At the same time, Melbourne Victory FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Macarthur FC that had 149 games and scored 216 goals.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Folami, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Macarthur FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Macarthur FC is showing some good football. However, Macarthur FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' Macarthur FC have won 216 goals from 149 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 55' Matthew Millar has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 58' Ben Folami is replacing Bruno Fornaroli for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
  • 62' Al Hassan Toure gets the nod from Macarthur FC. He replaces Jed Drew and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' Anthony Carter gets the nod from Macarthur FC. He replaces Daniel Arzani and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Another substitution for Macarthur FC to replace Ulises Davila by Craig Noone on 73 minute.
  • 74' Jason Geria makes way for Matthew Bozinovski at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 77' Jerry Skotadis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kearyn Baccus on 77 minute.
  • 82' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 82 minute. Nicholas D'Agostino leaves to be changed by Nishan Velupillay.
  • 84' Ben Folami doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' The 29-year-old George Timotheou has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Craig Noone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Macarthur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC32% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC41%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Macarthur FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
68%
Macarthur FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Macarthur FC24% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Macarthur FC

Handicap Macarthur FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.