Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Marvel Stadium.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Cream
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Nathan MacDonald
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
- Referee Kate Jacewicz
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Melbourne City FC | H | 0–6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Feb | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Feb | Macarthur FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Melbourne Victory FC get us underway at Marvel Stadium.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Callum McManaman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Javi Lopez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 20.
- 23' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' GOAL! Jake Brimmer scores on 28.
- 33' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' What a moment for Stefan Mauk! That strike on 35 puts his side firmly in control.
- 40' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Rudy Gestede has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 388 appearances.
- 47' A moment of madness from Aaron Anderson on 47 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
- 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' A moment of madness from Storm Roux on 54 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
- 56' Adelaide United FC make a change. Al Hassan Toure trudges off to be replaced by Kusini Yengi on 56 minutes.
- 61' A goal from the Australia international Kusini Yengi! He fires home on 61 to make it 1-2!
- 62' Brandon Lauton gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Ben Folami and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 72' Storm Roux has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 75' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Aaron Anderson is withdrawn and Zaydan Bello gets his opportunity.
- 77' Stefan Mauk adds to his 0 season tally! Adelaide United FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 87' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 89' Adelaide United FC make a change. Stefan Mauk trudges off to be replaced by Joe Caletti on 89 minutes.
- The final score is 1-3.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
11
Ben Folami ↓ Brandon Lauton 62'
- 9
- 7
- 10
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 22
-
15
Aaron Anderson ↓ Zaydan Bello 75'
- 3
Bench
- 13
- 20
- 14
-
16
Brandon Lauton ↑ 62'
-
25
Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio ↑ 56'
- 33
-
35
Zaydan Bello ↑ 75'
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
8
Stefan Mauk C ↓ Joe Caletti 89'
- 46
- 22
- 23
- 4
- 6
- 11
- 26
- 27
-
35
Al Hassan Toure ↓ Yengi Kusini 56'
Bench
-
18
Joe Caletti ↑ 89'
-
24
Pacifique Niyongabire ↑ 89'
- 3
-
29
Yengi Kusini ↑ 56'
- 33
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2021-03-13
Melbourne Victory FC
1–3
Adelaide United FC
L
2021-03-06
Melbourne Victory FC
0–6
Melbourne City FC
L
2021-02-27
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2021-02-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2021-02-21
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2021-02-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Adelaide United FC Form
2021-03-13
Melbourne Victory FC
1–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2021-03-05
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2021-02-27
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2021-02-19
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2021-02-12
Macarthur FC
4–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2021-02-05
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Perth Glory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
70%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.