Thursday , 2 July 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 11 Nov 2022 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Melbourne Victory FC H 3–0 W
06 Nov Western United FC A 4–2 W
30 Oct Perth Glory FC H 2–1 W
23 Oct Sydney FC A 2–2 D
16 Oct Macarthur FC A 0–2 L
09 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Adelaide United FC A 0–3 L
04 Nov Newcastle United Jets FC H 4–0 W
29 Oct Brisbane Roar FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
15 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
08 Oct Sydney FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC56% Draw23% Melbourne Victory FC21%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
44%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC40% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC17%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.