Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 11 Nov 2022 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Melbourne Victory FC H 3–0 W
06 Nov Western United FC A 4–2 W
30 Oct Perth Glory FC H 2–1 W
23 Oct Sydney FC A 2–2 D
16 Oct Macarthur FC A 0–2 L
09 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Adelaide United FC A 0–3 L
04 Nov Newcastle United Jets FC H 4–0 W
29 Oct Brisbane Roar FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
15 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
08 Oct Sydney FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Adelaide United FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Adelaide United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 35' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hiroshi Ibusuki makes it 1-0.
  • 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hiroshi Ibusuki makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 43' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' That is a Yellow card for Adelaide United FC. Ethan Alagich will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Adelaide United FC that had 233 games and scored 368 goals.
  • 59' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 65' Nani makes way for Jake Brimmer at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 72' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Isaias.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Cadete is replaced by Noah Smith.
  • 76' Noah Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cadete on 76 minute.
  • 81' Bruno Fornaroli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 82' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Ethan Alagich is withdrawn and Harry Van der Saag gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Blackwood is hanging Hiroshi Ibusuki on the field on 83 minute.
  • 84' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 84 minute. Joshua Brillante leaves to be changed by Nathan Konstandopoulos.
  • 86' Craig Goodwin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
  • 87' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 87.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Raimon Marchan is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 88.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Chris Ikonomidis is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Adelaide United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC56% Draw23% Melbourne Victory FC21%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
44%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC40% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC17%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.