Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Nov | Western United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 30 Oct | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | Sydney FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | Macarthur FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Oct | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Oct | Melbourne City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Oct | Sydney FC | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Adelaide United FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Adelaide United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 35' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
- 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hiroshi Ibusuki makes it 1-0.
- 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hiroshi Ibusuki makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 43' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 48' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 49' That is a Yellow card for Adelaide United FC. Ethan Alagich will be fuming at that decision.
- 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Adelaide United FC that had 233 games and scored 368 goals.
- 59' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
- 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
- 65' Nani makes way for Jake Brimmer at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 72' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Isaias.
- 75' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Cadete is replaced by Noah Smith.
- 76' Noah Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cadete on 76 minute.
- 81' Bruno Fornaroli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 82' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Ethan Alagich is withdrawn and Harry Van der Saag gets his opportunity.
- 83' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Blackwood is hanging Hiroshi Ibusuki on the field on 83 minute.
- 84' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 84 minute. Joshua Brillante leaves to be changed by Nathan Konstandopoulos.
- 86' Craig Goodwin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
- 87' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 87.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Raimon Marchan is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 88.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Chris Ikonomidis is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Adelaide United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 3
- 46
-
28
Juande ↓ Louis D'Arrigo 82'
-
8
Isaias ↓ Louis D'Arrigo 82'
- 7
- 11
- 26
- 9
- 41
- 55
Bench
- 13
-
6
Louis D'Arrigo ↑ 82'
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 82'
- 1
-
2
Harry Van der Saag ↑ 82'
- 35
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Cadete ↓ Noah Smith 75'
-
11
Ben Folami ↓ Nishan Velupillay 76'
-
17
Nani ↓ Jake Brimmer 65'
- 16
- 6
- 7
- 21
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 20
Bench
-
18
Nicholas D'Agostino ↑ 65'
- 1
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 65'
-
23
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 84'
- 15
-
25
Noah Smith ↑ 75'
-
24
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 76'
Coach
Anthony Popovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2022-11-11
Adelaide United FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2022-11-06
Western United FC
2–4
Adelaide United FC
W
2022-10-30
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Perth Glory FC
W
2022-10-23
Sydney FC
2–2
Adelaide United FC
D
2022-10-16
Macarthur FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2022-10-09
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2022-11-11
Adelaide United FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2022-11-04
Melbourne Victory FC
4–0
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2022-10-29
Brisbane Roar FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2022-10-22
Melbourne Victory FC
0–2
Melbourne City FC
L
2022-10-15
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2022-10-08
Sydney FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
44%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

