AZ vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Assistant 1 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
- Assistant 2 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Galatasaray SK | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Fenerbahce SK | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | AZ | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | FC Utrecht | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Dec | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Real Sociedad de Futbol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Twente '65 | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AZ | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 6 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 18 | Scored | 21 |
| 6 | Conceded | 9 |
| +12 | GD | +12 |
| 2.71 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 86% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
AZ are 1st (19 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AZ
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 4 G | |
| Mexx Meerdink | 3 G | 2 A |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 2 G | |
| Ayoub Oufkir | 2 G | |
| Calvin Stengs | 1 G | 1 A |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! AZ vs AFC Ajax — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ernest Poku suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. AZ in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-3-3.
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 35' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wout Weghorst on 36.
- 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 45.
- 46' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wouter Goes.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' AZ currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 63' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Bertrand Traore comes on to replace Steven Berghuis.
- 65' A stunning finish from Troy Parrott — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Mayckel Lahdo. He replaces Ruben van Bommel on 66 minute.
- 71' AZ have won 579 goals from 304 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 73' The crowd applauds Davy Klaassen as he leaves the pitch. Kian Fitz-Jim steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mayckel Lahdo makes it 2-0.
- 78' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Christian Rasmussen on, Kenneth Taylor off on 78 minutes.
- 81' What a strike from Mika Godts! The score is 2-1.
- 83' Another substitution for AZ to replace Ernest Poku by Kees Smit on 83 minute.
- 88' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' The crowd applauds Seiya Maikuma as he leaves the pitch. Denso Kasius steps in for AZ.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Ajax.
Lineups
AZ Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 41
- 8
- 10
-
9
Troy Parrott ↓ Mexx Meerdink 90'
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Denso Kasius 90'
- 6
- 5
-
21
Ernest Poku ↓ Kees Smit 83'
- 3
- 7
- 18
Bench
- 4
- 12
-
23
Mayckel Lahdo ↑ 66'
- 28
- 34
-
30
Denso Kasius ↑ 90'
-
35
Mexx Meerdink ↑ 90'
- 22
- 31
- 33
- 17
-
26
Kees Smit ↑ 83'
Coach
Maarten Martens
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 73'
- 22
- 23
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↓ Brian Brobbey 63'
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↓ Mika Godts 73'
- 21
- 37
- 8
- 15
- 4
- 3
Bench
- 5
- 6
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↑ 63'
- 24
- 40
- 12
- 13
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↑ 63'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 73'
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 78'
- 38
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 73'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 4 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 |
| Myron Boadu | 2 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 1 |
| Ibrahim Sadiq | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jens Odgaard | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + AZ to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AZ win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
80%
Draw or AFC Ajax
44%
AZ or AFC Ajax
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

