Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AZ vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 13:30 UTC AFAS Stadion 18,307 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mayckel Lahdo 89' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Assistant 1 Sjoerd Nanninga
  • Assistant 2 Don Frijn
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Heracles Almelo H 1–0 W
28 Nov Galatasaray SK H 1–1 D
24 Nov Sparta Rotterdam A 2–1 W
10 Nov Willem II Tilburg H 1–2 L
07 Nov Fenerbahçe SK H 3–1 W
02 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec AZ A 0–1 L
23 Nov RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
08 Nov FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
02 Nov NAC Breda H 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Twente '65 A 0–5 L
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AFAS Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. AZ must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Jordy Clasie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' AZ currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Ruben Roosken is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 40' Denso Kasius is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AZ so far.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AZ side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' AZ seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Fresh legs for AZ! Mayckel Lahdo comes on to replace Ruben van Bommel.
  • 68' Jan Zamburek makes way for Thomas Bruns at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 73' Fabian de Keijzer, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 74' Jordy Clasie makes way for Zico Buurmeester at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from AZ.
  • 75' That is a card for Heracles Almelo. Sem Scheperman will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Juho Talvitie comes on to replace Suf Podgoreanu.
  • 79' Jizz Hornkamp picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 81' AZ manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Denso Kasius is hanging David Wolfe on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' What a moment for Mayckel Lahdo! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Thomas Bruns on 90 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • The points are shared — AZ 1-0 Heracles Almelo. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AZ47% Draw27% Heracles Almelo26%
Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
75%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
53%
AZ or Heracles Almelo
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AZ31% Draw49% Heracles Almelo20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.