AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
- Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | NEC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Feb | SC Heerenveen | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | PSV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Jan | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | RKC Waalwijk | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jan | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 14 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 4 |
| 32 | Scored | 20 |
| 15 | Conceded | 21 |
| +17 | GD | -1 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). NEC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' NEC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 7' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 12' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 17' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van 't Schip will be considering his options from the bench.
- 27' Roberto Gonzalez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 365 appearances.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sylla Sow made 329 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' A quiet spell here at Johan Cruijff Arena. AFC Ajax seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 52' AFC Ajax have won 849 goals from 492 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' Carlos Forbs gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Jaydon Banel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' Jorrel Hato makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 65' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 65 minute. Benjamin Tahirovic leaves to be changed by Ar'jany Martha.
- 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian Brobbey on 67 minutes.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 76' Lasse Schone is replacing Mees Hoedemakers for the NEC side.
- 79' What a moment for Carlos Forbs! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' The NEC bench stirs into life. Bart van Rooij is withdrawn and Sylla Sow gets his opportunity.
- 85' A change in the NEC ranks — Dirk Proper exits the field as Roberto Gonzalez enters on 85.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Kristian Hlynsson.
- 90' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Brian Brobbey by Julian Rijkhoff on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AFC Ajax 2-2 NEC.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 40
- 37
- 8
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Julian Rijkhoff 90'
- 33
- 4
-
49
Jaydon Banel ↓ Carlos Forbs 57'
- 38
- 47
Bench
- 25
- 1
- 10
- 12
-
21
Branco van den Boomen ↑ 65'
- 13
- 28
- 16
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↑ 57'
- 3
-
42
Ar'jany Martha ↑ 65'
-
19
Julian Rijkhoff ↑ 90'
Coach
John van 't Schip
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Mees Hoedemakers ↓ Lasse Schone 76'
- 9
- 24
- 1
- 18
- 3
-
28
Bart van Rooij ↓ Sylla Sow 84'
-
71
Dirk Proper ↓ Roberto Gonzalez 85'
- 10
-
5
Youri Baas ↓ Brayann Pereira 76'
- 23
Bench
-
19
Sylla Sow ↑ 84'
-
20
Lasse Schone ↑ 76'
-
11
Roberto Gonzalez ↑ 85'
- 22
- 31
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↑ 76'
-
14
Lars Olden Larsen ↑ 76'
- 27
- 21
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
82%
Draw or NEC
40%
AFC Ajax or NEC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

