AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
- Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | NEC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Feb | SC Heerenveen | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | PSV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Jan | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | RKC Waalwijk | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jan | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 12 |
| 9 | Conceded | 13 |
| +12 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 57% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Johan Cruijff Arena will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and NEC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 7' What a strike from Brian Brobbey! The score is 1-0.
- 12' Kristian Hlynsson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 484 appearances.
- 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brayann Pereira suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 42' Philippe Sandler needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 52' NEC have won 244 goals from 177 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' The crowd applauds Jaydon Banel as he leaves the pitch. Carlos Forbs steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 61' Goal! Jorrel Hato scores his 5 goal in 484 matches.
- 65' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ar'jany Martha is hanging Benjamin Tahirovic on the field on 65 minute.
- 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian Brobbey on 67 minutes.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 76' Another change for NEC made on 76 minute. Mees Hoedemakers leaves to be changed by Lasse Schone.
- 79' What a moment for Carlos Forbs! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' Sylla Sow gets the nod from NEC. He replaces Bart van Rooij and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' It is a substitution in NEC team. Dirk Proper is replaced by Roberto Gonzalez on 85 minute.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kristian Hlynsson on 87.
- 90' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julian Rijkhoff is hanging Brian Brobbey on the field on 90 minute.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 40
- 37
- 8
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Julian Rijkhoff 90'
- 33
- 4
-
49
Jaydon Banel ↓ Carlos Forbs 57'
- 38
- 47
Bench
- 25
- 1
- 10
- 12
-
21
Branco van den Boomen ↑ 65'
- 13
- 28
- 16
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↑ 57'
- 3
-
42
Ar'jany Martha ↑ 65'
-
19
Julian Rijkhoff ↑ 90'
Coach
John van 't Schip
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Mees Hoedemakers ↓ Lasse Schone 76'
- 9
- 24
- 1
- 18
- 3
-
28
Bart van Rooij ↓ Sylla Sow 84'
-
71
Dirk Proper ↓ Roberto Gonzalez 85'
- 10
-
5
Youri Baas ↓ Brayann Pereira 76'
- 23
Bench
-
19
Sylla Sow ↑ 84'
-
20
Lasse Schone ↑ 76'
-
11
Roberto Gonzalez ↑ 85'
- 22
- 31
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↑ 76'
-
14
Lars Olden Larsen ↑ 76'
- 27
- 21
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or NEC
37%
AFC Ajax or NEC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

