Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 18 Feb 2024 · 13:30 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Brobbey 7' 1–0
1–1 61' Jorrel Hato og
Carlos Forbs 79' 2–1
2–2 90+5' Roberto Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

  • AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
  • NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb NEC H 2–2 D
11 Feb SC Heerenveen A 2–3 L
03 Feb PSV H 1–1 D
27 Jan Heracles Almelo A 4–2 W
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
09 Feb RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
03 Feb Heracles Almelo H 3–1 W
28 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D
20 Jan FC Twente '65 H 1–0 W
14 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–2 D

Season Stats

AFC Ajax NEC
#5 Position #11
14 Points 8
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
21 Scored 12
9 Conceded 13
+12 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.14
57% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Johan Cruijff Arena will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and NEC.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 7' What a strike from Brian Brobbey! The score is 1-0.
  • 12' Kristian Hlynsson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 484 appearances.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brayann Pereira suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 42' Philippe Sandler needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' NEC have won 244 goals from 177 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Jaydon Banel as he leaves the pitch. Carlos Forbs steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 61' Goal! Jorrel Hato scores his 5 goal in 484 matches.
  • 65' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ar'jany Martha is hanging Benjamin Tahirovic on the field on 65 minute.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian Brobbey on 67 minutes.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' Another change for NEC made on 76 minute. Mees Hoedemakers leaves to be changed by Lasse Schone.
  • 79' What a moment for Carlos Forbs! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' Sylla Sow gets the nod from NEC. He replaces Bart van Rooij and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' It is a substitution in NEC team. Dirk Proper is replaced by Roberto Gonzalez on 85 minute.
  • 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kristian Hlynsson on 87.
  • 90' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julian Rijkhoff is hanging Brian Brobbey on the field on 90 minute.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 NEC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax63% Draw20% NEC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or NEC
37%
AFC Ajax or NEC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax50% Draw36% NEC14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NEC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 19% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 20% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.