Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Utrecht vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 0
Full Time
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 10:15 UTC Stadion Galgenwaard 22,516 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sebastien Haller 29' 1–0
Miguel Rodriguez 52' 2–0
Miguel Rodriguez 63' 3–0
Paxten Aaronson 85' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Utrecht vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr AFC Ajax H 4–0 W
13 Apr FC Groningen H 3–1 W
06 Apr Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Heerenveen H 2–0 W
15 Mar NEC H 0–1 L
09 Mar Willem II Tilburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
13 Apr Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
06 Apr NAC Breda H 3–1 W
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FC Utrecht AFC Ajax
#6 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Utrecht are 6th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadion Galgenwaard. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jorrel Hato suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Mika Godts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 25' Brian Brobbey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Sebastien Haller makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Souffian El Karouani, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Galgenwaard with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 39' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Jordan Henderson gets a card.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Utrecht and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Paxten Aaronson on 45 minutes earns him a card. FC Utrecht will be frustrated.
  • 50' AFC Ajax come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' Miguel Rodriguez adds to his 0 season tally! FC Utrecht lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brian Brobbey.
  • 59' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Wout Weghorst comes on to replace Mika Godts.
  • 63' Goal! Miguel Rodriguez scores his 8 goal in 320 matches.
  • 68' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 70' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Bertrand Traore gets a card.
  • 72' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Owen Wijndal comes on to replace Jorrel Hato.
  • 77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Utrecht and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 78' Another change for FC Utrecht made on 78 minute. Alonzo Engwanda leaves to be changed by Matisse Didden.
  • 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 85' GOAL! Paxten Aaronson fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 88' Adrian Blake is replacing Yoann Cathline for the FC Utrecht side.
  • 90' A tactical swap from FC UtrechtVictor Jensen on, Oscar Fraulo off on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 4-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 FC Utrecht xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Utrecht50% Draw30% AFC Ajax20%
Actual: FC Utrecht win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

FC Utrecht or Draw
80%
Draw or AFC Ajax
50%
FC Utrecht or AFC Ajax
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Utrecht31% Draw56% AFC Ajax13%
Actual: FC Utrecht win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Utrecht

Handicap FC Utrecht covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
52%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.