Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 14:45 UTC Koning Willem II Stadion 14,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Emilio Kehrer 41' 1–0
1–1 74' Oliver Edvardsen
1–2 78' Wout Weghorst

Overview

Match Preview

Willem II Tilburg vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Michael Osseweijer
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
04 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
29 Mar Almere City FC H 0–2 L
16 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 0–1 L
09 Mar FC Utrecht H 2–3 L
02 Mar Sparta Rotterdam A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
06 Apr NAC Breda H 3–1 W
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Willem II Tilburg AFC Ajax
#18 Position #5
2 Points 14
7 Played 7
0 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
6 Scored 21
20 Conceded 9
-14 GD +12
0.29 PPG 2.00
0% Win % 57%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Willem II Tilburg are 18th (2 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/5
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/8
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
Devin Haen 3 G 1 A
Thomas Verheydt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Koning Willem II Stadion as Willem II Tilburg face off against AFC Ajax in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 8' Jens Mathijsen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 8.
  • 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kian Fitz-Jim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' Runar THor Sigurgeirsson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 172 appearances.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Willem II Tilburg are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 33' A quiet spell here at Koning Willem II Stadion. AFC Ajax seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' Assisted by Jeremy Bokila with the perfectly-timed delivery and Emilio Kehrer makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 46' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Wout Weghorst comes on to replace Brian Brobbey.
  • 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. Willem II Tilburg and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 69' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Jorrel Hato is replaced by Kian Fitz-Jim.
  • 71' Youssuf Sylla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jeremy Bokila on 71 minute.
  • 74' What a moment for Oliver Edvardsen! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Willem II Tilburg. Jens Mathijsen is replaced by Rob Nizet.
  • 78' Magnificent from Wout Weghorst! That is 106 goals in 478 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Willem II Tilburg — Nick Doodeman on, Ringo Meerveld off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' AFC Ajax come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Kenneth Taylor as he leaves the pitch. Daniele Rugani steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • Willem II Tilburg will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.74 Willem II Tilburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.26 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Willem II Tilburg10% Draw15% AFC Ajax75%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Willem II Tilburg or Draw
25%
Draw or AFC Ajax
90%
Willem II Tilburg or AFC Ajax
85%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Willem II Tilburg6% Draw29% AFC Ajax65%
Actual: Willem II Tilburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
10.5%
0 – 2
10.1%
0 – 4
8.4%
1 – 3
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 4
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 5
5.5%
1 – 1
5.1%
1 – 5
4.1%
0 – 6
3%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Willem II Tilburg

Handicap Willem II Tilburg covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% — 99%
-1 1% 4% 95%
-0.5 5% — 95%
+0.5 16% — 84%
+1 16% 17% 67%
+1.5 33% — 67%
+2 33% 21% 46%
+2.5 54% — 46%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
48% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.