Thursday , 2 July 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 14:45 UTC Koning Willem II Stadion 14,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Emilio Kehrer 41' 1–0
1–1 74' Oliver Edvardsen
1–2 78' Wout Weghorst

Overview

Match Preview

Willem II Tilburg vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Michael Osseweijer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
04 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
29 Mar Almere City FC H 0–2 L
16 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 0–1 L
09 Mar FC Utrecht H 2–3 L
02 Mar Sparta Rotterdam A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
06 Apr NAC Breda H 3–1 W
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Willem II Tilburg AFC Ajax
#18 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Willem II Tilburg are 18th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Koning Willem II Stadion that hosts another battle between Willem II Tilburg and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 8' The referee shows Willem II Tilburg player a card on 8.
  • 13' It looks like no one’s ball. Willem II Tilburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Willem II Tilburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Jorrel Hato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 41' Emilio Kehrer puts Willem II Tilburg on the lead.
  • 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jeremy Bokila, as he is very good at scoring at Koning Willem II Stadion with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Didillon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 480 games and scored 817 goals.
  • 59' The whistle greets Brian Brobbey as he departs to be replaced by Wout Weghorst.
  • 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 69 minute. Jorrel Hato leaves to be changed by Kian Fitz-Jim.
  • 71' Another substitution for Willem II Tilburg to replace Jeremy Bokila by Youssuf Sylla on 71 minute.
  • 74' What a strike from Oliver Edvardsen! The score is 1-1.
  • 76' The Willem II Tilburg manager makes a substitution. Jens Mathijsen departs to be replaced by Rob Nizet.
  • 78' Goal! Wout Weghorst scores his 102 goal in 471 matches.
  • 83' Willem II Tilburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' Willem II Tilburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick Doodeman is hanging Ringo Meerveld on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniele Rugani made 519 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Kenneth Taylor is replaced by Daniele Rugani.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.41 Willem II Tilburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Willem II Tilburg15% Draw33% AFC Ajax52%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Willem II Tilburg or Draw
48%
Draw or AFC Ajax
85%
Willem II Tilburg or AFC Ajax
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Willem II Tilburg8% Draw61% AFC Ajax31%
Actual: Willem II Tilburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.6%
0 – 1
23%
0 – 2
12.6%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
2.2%
2 – 1
2%
2 – 0
1.6%
0 – 4
1.3%
2 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Willem II Tilburg

Handicap Willem II Tilburg covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 10% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 29% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 15% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
34%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
66%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.