AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Jochem Kamphuis
- Referee Bas van Dongen
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Referee Roy de Nas
- Referee Martin Perez
- Referee Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | SBV Vitesse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Feb | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Feb | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | AFC Ajax | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | FC Volendam | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | SBV Excelsior | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 14 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 4 |
| 32 | Scored | 20 |
| 15 | Conceded | 21 |
| +17 | GD | -1 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). NEC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Ajax host NEC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The 26-year-old Souffian El Karouani has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and NEC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 13' Mohammed Kudus picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 18' Joris Kramer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their trying to find a way past NEC's compact .
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Elayis Tavsan, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. NEC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 491 games and scored 846 goals.
- 45' Bart van Rooij catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Lasse Schone makes way for Andri Fannar Baldursson at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from NEC.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' Magnificent from Mohammed Kudus! That is 55 goals in 6 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
- 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 67' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 67 minute. Steven Bergwijn leaves to be changed by Brian Brobbey.
- 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and NEC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Andri Fannar Baldursson is booked for NEC — Yellow card on 73.
- 76' The crowd applauds Magnus Mattsson as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Marques steps in for NEC.
- 81' Spain international Ivan Marquez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 85' Anthony Musaba gets the nod from NEC. He replaces Elayis Tavsan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The NEC bench stirs into life. Souffian El Karouani is withdrawn and Ibrahim Cissoko gets his opportunity.
- 90' Davy Klaassen makes way for Florian Grillitsch at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Oussama Tannane.
- NEC will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Steven Bergwijn ↓ Brian Brobbey 67'
- 5
- 10
- 23
- 12
- 4
- 20
- 2
- 3
- 15
Bench
- 18
- 1
- 22
-
21
Florian Grillitsch ↑ 90'
- 19
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 67'
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↑ 67'
- 26
-
35
Francisco Conceicao ↑ 90'
- 28
- 25
- 57
Coach
Johnny Heitinga
NEC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 20
- 22
- 19
-
3
Philippe Sandler ↓ Joris Kramer 90'
- 28
-
7
Elayis Tavsan ↓ Anthony Musaba 85'
- 16
- 71
- 4
-
11
Magnus Mattsson ↓ Pedro Marques 76'
Bench
-
5
Joris Kramer ↑ 90'
- 1
- 6
-
9
Pedro Marques ↑ 76'
-
77
Anthony Musaba ↑ 85'
- 34
-
8
Andri Fannar Baldursson ↑ 46'
- 31
- 2
- 31
-
21
Ibrahim Cissoko ↑ 86'
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.19
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
NEC xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
87%
Draw or NEC
33%
AFC Ajax or NEC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
NEC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

