Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,029 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+5' Mario Engels
Jakov Medic 45+8' 1–1
Mohammed Kudus 75' 2–1
Steven Bergwijn 85' 3–1
Steven Bergwijn pen 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
8 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 19.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
28 May FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
21 May FC Utrecht H 3–1 W
16 May FC Groningen A 3–2 W
06 May AZ H 0–0 D
23 Apr PSV A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
15 May Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
11 May RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
07 May Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
30 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
24 Apr FC Groningen A 1–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for Justin Hoogma. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-3-3.
  • 20' Bryan Limbombe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' It’s high time Maurice Steijn made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 32' The supporters are chanting for Jay Gorter. He replaces Geronimo Rulli on 32 minute.
  • 37' Jorrel Hato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 492 appearances.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Jizz Hornkamp has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Bruns to step up.
  • 50' Mario Engels has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 53' Magnificent from Jakov Medic! That is 6 goals in 196 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' That is a Yellow card for Heracles Almelo. Anas Ouahim will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mario Engels on 58.
  • 61' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Davy Klaassen on, Kenneth Taylor off on 61 minutes.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Benjamin Tahirovic on 61 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Abdenego Nankishi by Bryan Limbombe on 68 minute.
  • 69' The whistle greets Jetro Willems as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Roosken.
  • 74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Devyne Rensch.
  • 75' GOAL! Mohammed Kudus scores on 75.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' Steven Bergwijn makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Bryan Limbombe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Owen Wijndal comes on to replace Anass Salah-Eddine.
  • 4-1 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw22% Heracles Almelo13%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
87%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax46% Draw43% Heracles Almelo11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
47% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.