Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,029 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+5' Mario Engels
Jakov Medic 45+8' 1–1
Mohammed Kudus 75' 2–1
Steven Bergwijn 85' 3–1
Steven Bergwijn pen 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
28 May FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
21 May FC Utrecht H 3–1 W
16 May FC Groningen A 3–2 W
06 May AZ H 0–0 D
23 Apr PSV A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
15 May Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
11 May RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
07 May Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
30 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
24 Apr FC Groningen A 1–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Johan Cruijff Arena will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' Sweden international Emil Hansson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Heracles Almelo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 32' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jay Gorter is hanging Geronimo Rulli on the field on 32 minute.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Jizz Hornkamp by Thomas Bruns on 45 minute.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Mario Engels — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' GOAL! Jakov Medic fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Anas Ouahim. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Mario Engels. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 61' Davy Klaassen gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Kenneth Taylor and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Poor challenge from Benjamin Tahirovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' Heracles Almelo make a change. Abdenego Nankishi trudges off to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe on 68 minutes.
  • 69' The whistle greets Jetro Willems as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Roosken.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Devyne Rensch argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 75' Magnificent from Mohammed Kudus! That is 55 goals in 6 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 80' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 85' The Netherlands Steven Bergwijn breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 3-1!
  • 88' Bryan Limbombe picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Owen Wijndal. He replaces Anass Salah-Eddine on 89 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw22% Heracles Almelo13%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
87%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax46% Draw43% Heracles Almelo11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
47% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.