Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,029 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+5' Mario Engels
Jakov Medic 45+8' 1–1
Mohammed Kudus 75' 2–1
Steven Bergwijn 85' 3–1
Steven Bergwijn pen 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
28 May FC Twente '65 A 1–3 L
21 May FC Utrecht H 3–1 W
16 May FC Groningen A 3–2 W
06 May AZ H 0–0 D
23 Apr PSV A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
15 May Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
11 May RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
07 May Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
30 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
24 Apr FC Groningen A 1–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Johan Cruijff Arena that hosts another battle between AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Poor challenge from Justin Hoogma. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 15' Brian Brobbey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anass Salah-Eddine suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Geronimo Rulli departs to be replaced by Jay Gorter.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Jizz Hornkamp departs to be replaced by Thomas Bruns.
  • 50' The Germany Mario Engels breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
  • 53' Assisted by Jorrel Hato with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jakov Medic makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 56' Poor challenge from Anas Ouahim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mario Engels.
  • 61' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Kenneth Taylor is replaced by Davy Klaassen.
  • 61' Benjamin Tahirovic was booked on 61.
  • 66' A quiet spell here at Johan Cruijff Arena. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 68' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Abdenego Nankishi departs to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 69' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Roosken is hanging Jetro Willems on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Devyne Rensch. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 75' What a strike from Mohammed Kudus! The score is 2-1.
  • 80' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 85' A goal from the Netherlands international Steven Bergwijn! He fires home on 85 to make it 3-1!
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Bryan Limbombe.
  • 89' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Owen Wijndal comes on to replace Anass Salah-Eddine.
  • 4-1 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw22% Heracles Almelo13%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
87%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax46% Draw43% Heracles Almelo11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
47%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.