AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeroen Manschot
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
8 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 19.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–1 | W |
| 28 May | FC Twente '65 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 May | FC Utrecht | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 May | FC Groningen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 06 May | AZ | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Apr | PSV | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | AFC Ajax | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 May | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 May | RKC Waalwijk | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | Willem II Tilburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Apr | FC Groningen | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo has kicked off!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The referee calls foul for Justin Hoogma. He receives a Yellow card.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-3-3.
- 20' Bryan Limbombe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' It’s high time Maurice Steijn made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 32' The supporters are chanting for Jay Gorter. He replaces Geronimo Rulli on 32 minute.
- 37' Jorrel Hato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 492 appearances.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Jizz Hornkamp has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Bruns to step up.
- 50' Mario Engels has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 53' Magnificent from Jakov Medic! That is 6 goals in 196 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 56' That is a Yellow card for Heracles Almelo. Anas Ouahim will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mario Engels on 58.
- 61' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Davy Klaassen on, Kenneth Taylor off on 61 minutes.
- 61' A moment of madness from Benjamin Tahirovic on 61 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Abdenego Nankishi by Bryan Limbombe on 68 minute.
- 69' The whistle greets Jetro Willems as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Roosken.
- 74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Devyne Rensch.
- 75' GOAL! Mohammed Kudus scores on 75.
- 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 85' Steven Bergwijn makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Bryan Limbombe argues furiously but the card stands.
- 89' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Owen Wijndal comes on to replace Anass Salah-Eddine.
- 4-1 the final result. Heracles Almelo will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 7
-
1
Geronimo Rulli ↓ Jay Gorter 32'
- 20
- 18
- 21
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Davy Klaassen 61'
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Carlos Forbs 89'
- 17
- 33
- 4
Bench
-
6
Davy Klaassen ↑ 61'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 89'
- 19
- 40
-
12
Jay Gorter ↑ 32'
- 37
- 43
- 24
- 38
- 39
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↑ 89'
Coach
Maurice Steijn
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 8
-
23
Jizz Hornkamp ↓ Thomas Bruns 45'
- 21
-
15
Jetro Willems ↓ Ruben Roosken 69'
- 29
- 14
-
10
Anas Ouahim ↓ Marko Vejinovic 69'
- 19
- 4
- 24
Bench
-
18
Marko Vejinovic ↑ 69'
-
17
Thomas Bruns ↑ 45'
- 28
-
12
Ruben Roosken ↑ 69'
-
7
Bryan Limbombe ↑ 68'
- 3
- 6
- 36
- 32
- 9
- 35
-
30
Diego van Oorschot ↑ 89'
Coach
John Lammers
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Luka Kulenovic | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
87%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Heracles Almelo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
47%
✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

