Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Heracles Almelo
1 – 4
Full Time
NEC
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs NEC — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Bos

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 ADO Den Haag 0 0
2 AFC Ajax 0 0
3 AZ 0 0
4 FC Groningen 0 0
5 FC Twente '65 0 0
6 FC Utrecht 0 0
7 Feyenoord Rotterdam 0 0
8 Fortuna Sittard 0 0
9 Go Ahead Eagles 0 0
10 NEC 0 0
11 PEC Zwolle 0 0
12 PSV 0 0
13 SBV Excelsior 0 0
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 0
15 SC Heerenveen 0 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
17 Telstar 1963 0 0
18 Willem II Tilburg 0 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Heracles Almelo 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals NEC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-16 Heracles Almelo 1–4 NEC 2025-05-18 Heracles Almelo 1–2 NEC 2024-09-21 NEC 1–2 Heracles Almelo 2024-02-03 NEC 3–1 Heracles Almelo 2023-08-18 Heracles Almelo 2–1 NEC

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug NEC H 1–4 L
10 Aug FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
18 May NEC H 1–2 L
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
NEC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Heracles Almelo A 4–1 W
09 Aug SBV Excelsior H 5–0 W
18 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
14 May NAC Breda H 3–0 W
11 May AFC Ajax A 3–0 W
03 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

NEC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Koki Ogawa 4
Ali Akman 2
Tjaronn Chery 1
Mario Engels 1
Luka Kulenovic 1
Sem Scheperman 1
Sontje Hansen 1
Basar Onal 1

Head to Head

2025-08-16 Heracles Almelo 1–4 NEC 2025-05-18 Heracles Almelo 1–2 NEC 2024-09-21 NEC 1–2 Heracles Almelo 2024-02-03 NEC 3–1 Heracles Almelo 2023-08-18 Heracles Almelo 2–1 NEC

Heracles Almelo Form

2025-08-16 Heracles Almelo 1–4 NEC L 2025-08-10 FC Utrecht 4–0 Heracles Almelo L 2025-05-18 Heracles Almelo 1–2 NEC L 2025-05-14 PSV 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2025-05-09 Willem II Tilburg 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2025-05-03 Heracles Almelo 1–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L

NEC Form

2025-08-16 Heracles Almelo 1–4 NEC W 2025-08-09 NEC 5–0 SBV Excelsior W 2025-05-18 Heracles Almelo 1–2 NEC W 2025-05-14 NEC 3–0 NAC Breda W 2025-05-11 AFC Ajax 0–3 NEC W 2025-05-03 NEC 1–1 Willem II Tilburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 NEC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw24% NEC53%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
47%
Draw or NEC
77%
Heracles Almelo or NEC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo19% Draw42% NEC39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push NEC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.