Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 1
Full Time
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Philips Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Malik Tillman 18' 1–0
Ismael Saibari 21' 2–0
Ismael Saibari 35' 3–0
Malik Tillman 40' 4–0
4–1 75' Mario Engels

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Charles Schaap
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ribbink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
11 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–2 W
03 May Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
24 Apr FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W
12 Apr Almere City FC H 5–0 W
05 Apr FC Groningen A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — PSV and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' Malik Tillman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 21' Magnificent from Ismael Saibari! That is 28 goals in 316 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Assisted by Sergino Dest with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ismael Saibari makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 40' A goal from the USA international Malik Tillman! He fires home on 40 to make it 4-0!
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Kulenovic is hanging Jizz Hornkamp on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The 26-year-old Luka Kulenovic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' PSV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heracles Almelo backline.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 62' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Juho Talvitie exits the field as Daniel van Kaam enters on 62.
  • 63' The whistle greets Joey Veerman as he departs to be replaced by Guus Til.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' Mario Engels is replacing Jan Zamburek for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 75' GOAL! Mario Engels scores on 75. Assisted by Suf Podgoreanu
  • 80' Suf Podgoreanu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PSV tonight.
  • 83' The PSV bench stirs into life. Luuk de Jong is withdrawn and Esmir Bajraktarevic gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Time for substitution for PSV. Olivier Boscagli is replaced by Armando Obispo.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Mimeirhel Benita is replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff on 88 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for PSV players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV69% Draw19% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
31%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV50% Draw38% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
39%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.