Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 – 1
Full Time
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Philips Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Malik Tillman 18' 1–0
Ismael Saibari 21' 2–0
Ismael Saibari 35' 3–0
Malik Tillman 40' 4–0
4–1 75' Mario Engels

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Charles Schaap
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ribbink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
11 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–2 W
03 May Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
24 Apr FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W
12 Apr Almere City FC H 5–0 W
05 Apr FC Groningen A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 4 G 1 A
Guus Til 4 G
Ricardo Pepi 3 G
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
Ruben van Bommel 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. PSV is hosting Heracles Almelo for another epic battle.
  • 5' Sergino Dest has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Malik Tillman makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and PSV are in front.
  • 21' GOAL! Ismael Saibari fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Mimeirhel Benita is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 35' Ismael Saibari with the second goal in the match!
  • 40' GOAL! Malik Tillman scores on 40. Assisted by Mauro Junior
  • 45' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Jan Zamburek has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Jizz Hornkamp departs to be replaced by Luka Kulenovic.
  • 51' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. PSV and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' Ivan Perisic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 32 Yellow cards this season.
  • 62' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Juho Talvitie departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
  • 63' Another substitution for PSV to replace Joey Veerman by Guus Til on 63 minute.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jizz Hornkamp, as he is very good at scoring at Philips Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 71' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Jan Zamburek exits the field as Mario Engels enters on 71.
  • 75' A goal from the Germany international Mario Engels! He fires home on 75 to make it 4-1!
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Olivier Boscagli made 444 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' Another substitution for PSV to replace Luuk de Jong by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 83 minute.
  • 84' A tactical swap from PSV — Armando Obispo on, Olivier Boscagli off on 84 minutes.
  • 88' Jannes Wieckhoff is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mimeirhel Benita at the 88 minute mark.
  • Another three points for PSV.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV69% Draw19% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
31%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV50% Draw38% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.