Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 – 1
Full Time
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Philips Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Malik Tillman 18' 1–0
Ismael Saibari 21' 2–0
Ismael Saibari 35' 3–0
Malik Tillman 40' 4–0
4–1 75' Mario Engels

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Charles Schaap
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ribbink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
11 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–2 W
03 May Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
24 Apr FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W
12 Apr Almere City FC H 5–0 W
05 Apr FC Groningen A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Philips Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Sergino Dest has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both PSV and Heracles Almelo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 18' PSV is taking the lead after the goal scored by Malik Tillman on 18.
  • 21' Ismael Saibari doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Against the run of play, Ismael Saibari has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 40' Malik Tillman with the second goal in the match!
  • 45' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Jizz Hornkamp as he leaves the pitch. Luka Kulenovic steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jannes Wieckhoff is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
  • 56' The 27-year-old Armando Obispo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 62' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Juho Talvitie departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
  • 63' Guus Til gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Joey Veerman and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Jan Zamburek exits the field as Mario Engels enters on 71.
  • 75' Assisted by Suf Podgoreanu with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mario Engels makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Esmir Bajraktarevic. He replaces Luuk de Jong on 83 minute.
  • 84' A change in the PSV ranks — Olivier Boscagli exits the field as Armando Obispo enters on 84.
  • 88' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Jannes Wieckhoff comes on to replace Mimeirhel Benita.
  • The points are shared — PSV 4-1 Heracles Almelo. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV69% Draw19% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
31%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV50% Draw38% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.