Sunday , 16 August 2026

PSV vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
4 1
Full Time
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Philips Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Malik Tillman 18' 1–0
Ismael Saibari 21' 2–0
Ismael Saibari 35' 3–0
Malik Tillman 40' 4–0
4–1 75' Mario Engels

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Philips Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Charles Schaap
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ribbink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
11 May Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–2 W
03 May Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
24 Apr FC Twente '65 A 3–1 W
12 Apr Almere City FC H 5–0 W
05 Apr FC Groningen A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Philips Stadion as PSV face off against Heracles Almelo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' PSV are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 18' A stunning finish from Malik Tillman — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' A goal from the Morocco international Ismael Saibari! He fires home on 21 to make it 2-0!
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Erwin van de Looi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Brilliant from the midfielder! Ismael Saibari makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 35.
  • 40' Malik Tillman does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jizz Hornkamp is withdrawn and Luka Kulenovic gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PSV and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' The whistle greets Juho Talvitie as he departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
  • 63' Time for substitution for PSV. Joey Veerman is replaced by Guus Til.
  • 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 71' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Jan Zamburek departs to be replaced by Mario Engels.
  • 75' Mario Engels adds to his 0 season tally! Heracles Almelo lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 83' Another substitution for PSV to replace Luuk de Jong by Esmir Bajraktarevic on 83 minute.
  • 84' Olivier Boscagli makes way for Armando Obispo at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
  • 88' Mimeirhel Benita makes way for Jannes Wieckhoff at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV69% Draw19% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
88%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
31%
PSV or Heracles Almelo
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV50% Draw38% Heracles Almelo12%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
39%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.