Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Koning Willem II Stadion 14,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Ivan Mesik
Jeremy Bokila 51' 1–1
1–2 66' Jizz Hornkamp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
03 May NEC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
04 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
29 Mar Almere City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/5
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/8
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
Devin Haen 3 G 1 A
Thomas Verheydt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Koning Willem II Stadion that hosts another battle between Willem II Tilburg and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' It’s high time Kristof Aelbrecht made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Jeremy Bokila is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 15' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 16' Ivan Mesik has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
  • 21' A quiet spell here at Koning Willem II Stadion. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Willem II Tilburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 51' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jeremy Bokila makes it 1-1.
  • 56' Willem II Tilburg currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Willem II Tilburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-1-2-1-2 shape.
  • 64' The referee calls foul for Amine Lachkar. He receives a card.
  • 66' Heracles Almelo is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jizz Hornkamp on 66.
  • 69' The whistle greets Jizz Hornkamp as he departs to be replaced by Mario Engels.
  • 70' Mimeirhel Benita is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Mickael Tirpan. He replaces Jeremy Bokila on 74 minute.
  • 76' Amar Ahmed Fatah is replacing Amine Lachkar for the Willem II Tilburg side.
  • 81' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Brian De Keersmaecker departs to be replaced by Jan Zamburek.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Willem II Tilburg! Patrick Joosten comes on to replace Emilio Kehrer.
  • 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' Jannes Wieckhoff gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Juho Talvitie and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Willem II Tilburg will have plenty to reflect on. Heracles Almelo were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Willem II Tilburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Willem II Tilburg32% Draw28% Heracles Almelo40%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Willem II Tilburg or Draw
60%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
68%
Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Willem II Tilburg25% Draw47% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Willem II Tilburg

Handicap Willem II Tilburg covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.