Sunday , 16 August 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Koning Willem II Stadion 14,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Ivan Mesik
Jeremy Bokila 51' 1–1
1–2 66' Jizz Hornkamp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
03 May NEC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
04 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
29 Mar Almere City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/5
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Koning Willem II Stadion!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emilio Kehrer made 358 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 16' Magnificent from Ivan Mesik! That is 2 goals in 175 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 26' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Willem II Tilburg is showing some good football. However, Willem II Tilburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Willem II Tilburg and Heracles Almelo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' Fabian de Keijzer, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' GOAL! Jeremy Bokila scores on 51. Assisted by Emilio Kehrer
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ringo Meerveld is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Willem II Tilburg.
  • 61' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 64' The referee shows Willem II Tilburg player a card on 64.
  • 66' GOAL! Jizz Hornkamp scores on 66.
  • 69' Heracles Almelo make a change. Jizz Hornkamp trudges off to be replaced by Mario Engels on 69 minutes.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Mimeirhel Benita.
  • 74' Another substitution for Willem II Tilburg to replace Jeremy Bokila by Mickael Tirpan on 74 minute.
  • 76' The Willem II Tilburg bench stirs into life. Amine Lachkar is withdrawn and Amar Ahmed Fatah gets his opportunity.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Brian De Keersmaecker is replaced by Jan Zamburek on 81 minute.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Willem II Tilburg. Emilio Kehrer is replaced by Patrick Joosten.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' Jannes Wieckhoff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juho Talvitie on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Willem II Tilburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Willem II Tilburg32% Draw28% Heracles Almelo40%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Willem II Tilburg or Draw
60%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
68%
Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Willem II Tilburg25% Draw47% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Willem II Tilburg

Handicap Willem II Tilburg covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
24%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.