Thursday , 2 July 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Koning Willem II Stadion 14,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Ivan Mesik
Jeremy Bokila 51' 1–1
1–2 66' Jizz Hornkamp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Willem II Tilburg vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Maarten Ketting
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
03 May NEC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
04 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
29 Mar Almere City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
03 May Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–4 L
23 Apr FC Groningen A 1–4 L
13 Apr AZ H 1–0 W
06 Apr RKC Waalwijk A 0–0 D
30 Mar FC Twente '65 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Heracles Almelo gets underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 16' Heracles Almelo is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ivan Mesik on 16.
  • 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 26' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
  • 31' Willem II Tilburg is showing some good football. However, Willem II Tilburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Willem II Tilburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabian de Keijzer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Willem II Tilburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 51' What a strike from Jeremy Bokila! The score is 1-1.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Amine Lachkar.
  • 66' Jizz Hornkamp puts Heracles Almelo on the lead.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Mario Engels. He replaces Jizz Hornkamp on 69 minute.
  • 70' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 74' Another substitution for Willem II Tilburg to replace Jeremy Bokila by Mickael Tirpan on 74 minute.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Willem II Tilburg. Amine Lachkar is replaced by Amar Ahmed Fatah.
  • 81' Jan Zamburek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian De Keersmaecker on 81 minute.
  • 83' Another substitution for Willem II Tilburg to replace Emilio Kehrer by Patrick Joosten on 83 minute.
  • 88' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Jannes Wieckhoff. He replaces Juho Talvitie on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Willem II Tilburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Willem II Tilburg32% Draw28% Heracles Almelo40%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Willem II Tilburg or Draw
60%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
68%
Willem II Tilburg or Heracles Almelo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Willem II Tilburg25% Draw47% Heracles Almelo28%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Willem II Tilburg

Handicap Willem II Tilburg covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
24%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.