US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Giorgio Peretti
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Stefano Liberti
- Referee Lorenzo Illuzzi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | AC Milan | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 2–7 | L |
| 23 Feb | AS Roma | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | Torino FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | US Lecce | A | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Genoa CFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–4 | L |
| 02 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 23 |
| 22 | Conceded | 13 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 27% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' US Lecce have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' The 27-year-old Rafael Leao has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 26' Brilliant from the ! Samu Castillejo makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 26.
- 31' US Lecce are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
- 36' Gianluca Lapadula is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 40' Matteo Gabbia is ready to make an impact after coming on for Simon Kjaer at the 40 minute mark.
- 45' AC Milan has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 46' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Khouma Babacar is hanging Gianluca Lapadula on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' Fabio Lucioni was booked on 49.
- 54' Marco Mancosu adds to his 0 season tally! US Lecce lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 55' Giacomo Bonaventura adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 57' Ante Rebic does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Controversy at the stadium! Matteo Gabbia argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 68' Alexis Saelemaekers gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Samu Castillejo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Leao makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 72.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' US Lecce have won 174 goals from 201 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 86' Another change for AC Milan made on 86 minute. Giacomo Bonaventura leaves to be changed by Lucas Biglia.
- 87' Franck Kessie makes way for Lucas Paqueta at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- The points are shared — US Lecce 1-4 AC Milan. Honours even.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 77
-
18
Riccardo Saponara ↓ Brayan Vera 87'
- 9
- 29
- 5
- 16
- 27
- 4
-
8
Marco Mancosu C ↓ Evgen Shakhov 87'
- 10
Bench
- 6
-
30
Khouma Babacar ↑ 46'
- 13
-
11
Evgen Shakhov ↑ 87'
- 22
-
3
Brayan Vera ↑ 87'
- 34
- 97
- 31
- 2
Coach
Fabio Liverani
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Ante Rebic ↓ Rafael Leao 68'
- 19
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↓ Matteo Gabbia 40'
- 99
- 13
- 12
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Lucas Paqueta 87'
- 5
- 10
- 7
- 4
Bench
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 87'
- 1
-
17
Rafael Leao ↑ 68'
- 90
- 2
-
20
Lucas Biglia ↑ 86'
- 93
- 33
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 68'
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 40'
- 98
- 29
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.87
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
43%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
US Lecce or AC Milan
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 4
4%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.7%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| +1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +2 | 52% | 19% | 29% |
| +2.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

