US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Giorgio Peretti
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Stefano Liberti
- Referee Lorenzo Illuzzi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | AC Milan | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 2–7 | L |
| 23 Feb | AS Roma | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | Torino FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | US Lecce | A | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Genoa CFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–4 | L |
| 02 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 4 |
| -5 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 12th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. US Lecce is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Mancosu suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Lecce and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabio Liverani might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 26' What a strike from Samu Castillejo! The score is 0-1.
- 31' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 36' Gabriel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Matteo Gabbia on, Simon Kjaer off on 40 minutes.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Khouma Babacar is replacing Gianluca Lapadula for the US Lecce side.
- 49' It’s a booking for US Lecce player. Fabio Lucioni gets a Yellow card.
- 54' What a moment for Marco Mancosu! That strike on 54 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' What composure from Giacomo Bonaventura! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 57' Brilliant from the ! Ante Rebic makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 57.
- 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 63' Matteo Gabbia picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Samu Castillejo by Alexis Saelemaekers on 68 minute.
- 72' What a strike from Rafael Leao! The score is 1-4.
- 77' US Lecce are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
- 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. US Lecce needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Giacomo Bonaventura is replaced by Lucas Biglia.
- 87' Lucas Paqueta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franck Kessie on 87 minute.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 77
-
18
Riccardo Saponara ↓ Brayan Vera 87'
- 9
- 29
- 5
- 16
- 27
- 4
-
8
Marco Mancosu C ↓ Evgen Shakhov 87'
- 10
Bench
- 6
-
30
Khouma Babacar ↑ 46'
- 13
-
11
Evgen Shakhov ↑ 87'
- 22
-
3
Brayan Vera ↑ 87'
- 34
- 97
- 31
- 2
Coach
Fabio Liverani
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Ante Rebic ↓ Rafael Leao 68'
- 19
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↓ Matteo Gabbia 40'
- 99
- 13
- 12
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Lucas Paqueta 87'
- 5
- 10
- 7
- 4
Bench
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 87'
- 1
-
17
Rafael Leao ↑ 68'
- 90
- 2
-
20
Lucas Biglia ↑ 86'
- 93
- 33
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 68'
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 40'
- 98
- 29
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Marco Mancosu | 1 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.91
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
40%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
US Lecce or AC Milan
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 3
7.8%
0 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.7%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 1
3.5%
2 – 4
3.5%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 19% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +2 | 49% | 19% | 32% |
| +2.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

