US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Giorgio Peretti
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Stefano Liberti
- Referee Lorenzo Illuzzi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | AC Milan | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 2–7 | L |
| 23 Feb | AS Roma | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | Torino FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | US Lecce | A | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Genoa CFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–4 | L |
| 02 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 28 | Scored | 53 |
| 50 | Conceded | 35 |
| -22 | GD | +18 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! US Lecce welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare.
- 5' Rafael Leao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 38 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' US Lecce seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Lecce and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Lucas Biglia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. US Lecce in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
- 26' What a moment for Samu Castillejo! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
- 31' Alessio Romagnoli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both US Lecce and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Simon Kjaer is replaced by Matteo Gabbia on 40 minute.
- 45' Hakan Calhanoglu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' US Lecce ring the changes. Gianluca Lapadula has done his job and it is now time for Khouma Babacar to step up.
- 49' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabio Lucioni on 49 minutes.
- 54' A stunning finish from Marco Mancosu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' Brilliant from the ! Giacomo Bonaventura makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 55.
- 57' Brilliant from the ! Ante Rebic makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 57.
- 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Matteo Gabbia will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Alexis Saelemaekers has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samu Castillejo on 68 minute.
- 72' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 77' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 82' Alexis Saelemaekers, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 86' AC Milan ring the changes. Giacomo Bonaventura has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Biglia to step up.
- 87' Lucas Paqueta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franck Kessie on 87 minute.
- US Lecce will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 77
-
18
Riccardo Saponara ↓ Brayan Vera 87'
- 9
- 29
- 5
- 16
- 27
- 4
-
8
Marco Mancosu C ↓ Evgen Shakhov 87'
- 10
Bench
- 6
-
30
Khouma Babacar ↑ 46'
- 13
-
11
Evgen Shakhov ↑ 87'
- 22
-
3
Brayan Vera ↑ 87'
- 34
- 97
- 31
- 2
Coach
Fabio Liverani
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Ante Rebic ↓ Rafael Leao 68'
- 19
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↓ Matteo Gabbia 40'
- 99
- 13
- 12
-
79
Franck Kessie ↓ Lucas Paqueta 87'
- 5
- 10
- 7
- 4
Bench
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 87'
- 1
-
17
Rafael Leao ↑ 68'
- 90
- 2
-
20
Lucas Biglia ↑ 86'
- 93
- 33
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 68'
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 40'
- 98
- 29
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
47%
Draw or AC Milan
76%
US Lecce or AC Milan
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 21% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

