Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 2 Nov 2022 · 20:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Referee Antonio Mateu
  • Referee Pau Cebrian
  • Referee Roberto del Palomar (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Red Bull Salzburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 4–0 W
30 Oct Torino FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AC Milan A 0–4 L
25 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
11 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–1 D
05 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 1–0 W
14 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
06 Sep AC Milan H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at San Siro!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Olivier Giroud makes it 1-0.
  • 19' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 24' Benjamin Sesko has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' Noah Okafor was booked on 43.
  • 44' Noah Okafor picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Another change for FC Red Bull Salzburg made on 46 minute. Oumar Solet leaves to be changed by Bernardo.
  • 46' Magnificent from Rade Krunic! That is 13 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 51' The travelling FC Red Bull Salzburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' FC Red Bull Salzburg is showing some good football. However, FC Red Bull Salzburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' Olivier Giroud adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' The FC Red Bull Salzburg bench stirs into life. Chikwubuike Adamu is withdrawn and Benjamin Sesko gets his opportunity.
  • 61' Poor challenge from Lucas Douath. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 62' Benjamin Sesko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chikwubuike Adamu on 62 minute.
  • 64' FC Red Bull Salzburg ring the changes. Lucas Douath has done his job and it is now time for Dijon Kameri to step up.
  • 69' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Junior Messias comes on to replace Rafael Leao.
  • 70' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Ismael Bennacer departs to be replaced by Tommaso Pobega.
  • 75' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' Sekou Koita is replacing Noah Okafor for the FC Red Bull Salzburg side.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Rade Krunic as he leaves the pitch. Charles De Ketelaere steps in for AC Milan.
  • 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
  • 86' Another change for AC Milan made on 86 minute. Pierre Kalulu leaves to be changed by Matteo Gabbia.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan62% Draw22% FC Red Bull Salzburg16%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
38%
AC Milan or FC Red Bull Salzburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan45% Draw43% FC Red Bull Salzburg12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FC Red Bull Salzburg covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 20% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 24% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.