Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 2 Nov 2022 · 20:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FC Red Bull SalzburgChampions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Referee Antonio Mateu
  • Referee Pau Cebrian
  • Referee Roberto del Palomar (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Red Bull Salzburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 4–0 W
30 Oct Torino FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AC Milan A 0–4 L
25 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
11 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–1 D
05 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 1–0 W
14 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
06 Sep AC Milan H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Noah Okafor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 14' GOAL! Olivier Giroud fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' Ciprian Tatarusanu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 34' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Rade Krunic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' FC Red Bull Salzburg have won 136 goals from 222 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' It’s a booking for FC Red Bull Salzburg player. Noah Okafor gets a Yellow card.
  • 44' Noah Okafor picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' The FC Red Bull Salzburg manager makes a substitution. Oumar Solet departs to be replaced by Bernardo.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! Rade Krunic gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 61' Time for substitution for FC Red Bull Salzburg. Chikwubuike Adamu is replaced by Benjamin Sesko.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lucas Douath on 61 minutes.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Chikwubuike Adamu as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Sesko steps in for FC Red Bull Salzburg.
  • 64' Fresh legs for FC Red Bull Salzburg! Dijon Kameri comes on to replace Lucas Douath.
  • 69' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Rafael Leao is replaced by Junior Messias on 69 minute.
  • 70' A tactical swap from AC MilanTommaso Pobega on, Ismael Bennacer off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Noah Okafor as he leaves the pitch. Sekou Koita steps in for FC Red Bull Salzburg.
  • 78' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Rade Krunic by Charles De Ketelaere on 78 minute.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Matteo Gabbia. He replaces Pierre Kalulu on 86 minute.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan62% Draw22% FC Red Bull Salzburg16%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
38%
AC Milan or FC Red Bull Salzburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan45% Draw43% FC Red Bull Salzburg12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FC Red Bull Salzburg covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 20% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 24% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.