AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2022-23

AC Milan

2 – 1

Full Time

Spezia Calcio

Sat 5 Nov 2022 · 19:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Ismael Bennacer 40' Y

Ismael Bennacer 41' Y

Junior Messias 63' Y

Y 74' Ethan Ampadu

Y 80' Mikael Egill Ellertsson

Olivier Giroud 83' Y

Theo Hernandez 83' Y

Y 83' M'Bala Nzola

Theo Hernandez 84' Y

Y 84' M'Bala Nzola

Y 89' Mattia Caldara

Olivier Giroud 90' R

Sandro Tonali 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.

AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Maurizio Mariani
Referee Luca Banti
Referee Michael Fabbri
Referee Valerio Marini
Referee Antonio Vono
Referee Davide Miele
Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Spezia Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2022-11-05 AC Milan 2–1 Spezia Calcio 2022-01-17 AC Milan 1–2 Spezia Calcio 2021-09-25 Spezia Calcio 1–2 AC Milan 2021-02-13 Spezia Calcio 2–0 AC Milan 2020-10-04 AC Milan 3–0 Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	Spezia Calcio	H	2–1	W
02 Nov	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	4–0	W
30 Oct	Torino FC	A	1–2	L
25 Oct	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	A	4–0	W
22 Oct	AC Monza	H	4–1	W
16 Oct	Hellas Verona FC	A	2–1	W

Spezia Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Nov	AC Milan	A	1–2	L
30 Oct	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–2	L
22 Oct	US Salernitana 1919	A	0–1	L
16 Oct	US Cremonese	H	2–2	D
09 Oct	AC Monza	A	0–2	L
02 Oct	SS Lazio	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at San Siro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bartlomiej Dragowski, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
15' Kevin Agudelo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
20' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
21' Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
31' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
36' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
40' Ismael Bennacer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
41' The referee has no hesitation. Ismael Bennacer is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 41.
46' The supporters are chanting for Sandro Tonali. He replaces Ismael Bennacer on 46 minute.
51' Spezia Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
54' Arkadiusz Reca is replacing Kelvin Amian Adou for the Spezia Calcio side.
59' Magnificent from Daniel Maldini! That is 17 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
63' Junior Messias was booked on 63.
65' What a strike from Sandro Tonali! The score is 2-1.
68' The supporters are chanting for Daniele Verde. He replaces Daniel Maldini on 68 minute.
69' The crowd applauds Mehdi Bourabia as he leaves the pitch. Mikael Egill Ellertsson steps in for Spezia Calcio.
72' Ante Rebic is replacing Junior Messias for the AC Milan side.
74' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Ampadu is booked for Spezia Calcio — Yellow card on 74.
79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
80' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud on 83 minutes.
84' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Theo Hernandez will be fuming at that decision.
89' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 3-1.
89' Mattia Caldara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
90' Time for substitution for Spezia Calcio. Albin Ekdal is replaced by David Strelec.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Olivier Giroud is booked for AC Milan — Red card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Spezia Calcio.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

27
Divock Origi ↓ Olivier Giroud 72'
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Charles De Ketelaere 72'
23
Fikayo Tomori
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Malick Thiaw 90'
1
Ciprian Tatarusanu
19
Theo Hernandez
33
Rade Krunic
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
46
Matteo Gabbia
20
Pierre Kalulu
30
Junior Messias ↓ Ante Rebic 72'

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

4
Ethan Ampadu
27
Kelvin Amian Adou ↓ Arkadiusz Reca 54'
29
Mattia Caldara
69
Bartlomiej Dragowski
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ David Strelec 90'
6
Mehdi Bourabia ↓ Mikael Egill Ellertsson 69'
33
Kevin Agudelo ↓ Petko Hristov 68'
30
Daniel Maldini ↓ Daniele Verde 68'
2
Emil Holm
18
M'Bala Nzola
14
Jakub Kiwior

Bench

Coach Luca Gotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	3
Theo Hernandez	2
Daniele Verde	1
Emanuel Gyasi	1
Kevin Agudelo	1
Olivier Giroud	1
Sandro Tonali	1
Daniel Maldini	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Spezia Calcio xG

I would bet for: AC Milan to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan59% Draw24% Spezia Calcio17%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

83%

Draw or Spezia Calcio

41%

AC Milan or Spezia Calcio

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan40% Draw45% Spezia Calcio15%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 0

10.9%

2 – 0

10.4%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.3%

3 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

2.8%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	18%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	24%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

Spezia Calcio Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Clean Sheet