Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2026
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC NapoliSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
8 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 6.9 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
13 May Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
09 May US Catanzaro H 0–2 L
04 May US Cremonese A 1–1 D
01 May Carrarese Calcio H 2–0 W
25 Apr AC Cesena A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio H 2–0 W
18 May Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–0 D
11 May Genoa CFC H 2–2 D
03 May US Lecce A 1–0 W
27 Apr Torino FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

US Sassuolo Calcio SSC Napoli
#11 Position #2
49 Points 76
38 Played 38
14 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 58
50 Conceded 36
-4 GD +22
1.29 PPG 2.00
37% Win % 61%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Sassuolo Calcio Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.64 US Sassuolo Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Sassuolo Calcio15% Draw24% SSC Napoli61%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw
40%
Draw or SSC Napoli
85%
US Sassuolo Calcio or SSC Napoli
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Sassuolo Calcio10% Draw46% SSC Napoli44%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 3
8.3%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
1 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio

Handicap US Sassuolo Calcio covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 8% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 35% 65%
+1 35% 26% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 20% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.