Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AC Milan A 1–2 L
22 Sep AC Pisa 1909 H 3–2 W
18 Sep Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#4 Position #10
24 Points 15
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 4
23 Scored 18
13 Conceded 14
+10 GD +4
2.18 PPG 1.36
64% Win % 36%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). SSC Napoli are 10th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Napoli
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/3
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
SSC Napoli
Kevin De Bruyne 4 G 1 A
Rasmus Hojlund 3 G
Matteo Politano 2 G 3 A
Antonio Vergara 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan49% Draw26% SSC Napoli25%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
75%
Draw or SSC Napoli
51%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan34% Draw45% SSC Napoli21%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.