Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC NapoliSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AC Milan A 1–2 L
22 Sep AC Pisa 1909 H 3–2 W
18 Sep Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#8 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). SSC Napoli are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as AC Milan face off against SSC Napoli in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.72 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + AC Milan or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan38% Draw37% SSC Napoli25%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
75%
Draw or SSC Napoli
62%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan19% Draw66% SSC Napoli15%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.1%
1 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
1.5%
3 – 0
1.5%
3 – 1
1.1%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
54%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.