Thursday , 10 September 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC NapoliSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AC Milan A 1–2 L
22 Sep AC Pisa 1909 H 3–2 W
18 Sep Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#4 Position #12
7 Points 3
3 Played 3
2 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 2
5 Scored 5
2 Conceded 5
+3 GD +0
2.33 PPG 1.00
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

AC Milan are 4th (7 pts). SSC Napoli are 12th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
4/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Napoli
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
/
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw24% SSC Napoli21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or SSC Napoli
45%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan40% Draw44% SSC Napoli16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.