Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Donald Robertson
  • Referee Francis Connor
  • Referee Sean Carr
  • Referee Steven McLean
  • Referee Bobby Madden

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals PAE Olympiakos SFP

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
27 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
20 Sep F91 Diddeleng A 1–0 W
16 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 1–3 L
20 Sep Real Betis Balompié H 0–0 D
30 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Burnley FC H 3–1 W
16 Aug FC Luzern A 3–1 W
09 Aug FC Luzern H 4–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
75% Clean Sheets
PAE Olympiakos SFP this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PAE Olympiakos SFP
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Alphadjo Cisse 3 G
PAE Olympiakos SFP
Armando Gonzalez 2 G
Roman Yaremchuk 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 14' GOAL! Guerrero scores on 14. Assisted by Leonardo Koutris
  • 19' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gennaro Gattuso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at . PAE Olympiakos SFP seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' The referee calls foul for Pape Abou Cisse. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 37' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' Bibras Natcho has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 98 appearances.
  • 54' Samu Castillejo makes way for Patrick Cutrone at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 55' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Giacomo Bonaventura exits the field as Hakan Calhanoglu enters on 55.
  • 56' Hakan Calhanoglu was booked on 56.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PAE Olympiakos SFP that had 98 games and scored 125 goals.
  • 66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
  • 70' Against the run of play, Patrick Cutrone has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 70' The PAE Olympiakos SFP manager makes a substitution. Matias Leiva departs to be replaced by Daniel Podence.
  • 75' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matias Leiva is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PAE Olympiakos SFP.
  • 76' Gonzalo Higuain adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 77' Another change for PAE Olympiakos SFP made on 77 minute. Vassilis Torosidis leaves to be changed by Yassine Meriah.
  • 79' What composure from Patrick Cutrone! The Italy international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 79' Fabio Borini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Suso on 79 minute.
  • 82' The PAE Olympiakos SFP bench stirs into life. Yaya Toure is withdrawn and Kostas Fortounis gets his opportunity.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 PAE Olympiakos SFP xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw24% PAE Olympiakos SFP21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or PAE Olympiakos SFP
45%
AC Milan or PAE Olympiakos SFP
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw42% PAE Olympiakos SFP19%
Actual: PAE Olympiakos SFP win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push PAE Olympiakos SFP covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
PAE Olympiakos SFP keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.