Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFPEurope .

Match Details

  • Referee Donald Robertson
  • Referee Francis Connor
  • Referee Sean Carr
  • Referee Steven McLean
  • Referee Bobby Madden

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals PAE Olympiakos SFP

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
27 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
20 Sep F91 Diddeleng A 1–0 W
16 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 1–3 L
20 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
30 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Burnley FC H 3–1 W
16 Aug FC Luzern A 3–1 W
09 Aug FC Luzern H 4–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and PAE Olympiakos SFP.
  • 5' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' Guerrero puts PAE Olympiakos SFP on the lead.
  • 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
  • 24' Roderick Miranda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' PAE Olympiakos SFP is showing some good football. However, PAE Olympiakos SFP are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' PAE Olympiakos SFP player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. PAE Olympiakos SFP is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Davide Calabria suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Lucas Biglia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Patrick Cutrone. He replaces Samu Castillejo on 54 minute.
  • 55' Another change for AC Milan made on 55 minute. Giacomo Bonaventura leaves to be changed by Hakan Calhanoglu.
  • 56' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 70' Goal! Patrick Cutrone scores his 41 goal in 515 matches.
  • 70' It is a substitution in PAE Olympiakos SFP team. Matias Leiva is replaced by Daniel Podence on 70 minute.
  • 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' Gonzalo Higuain puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 77' Yassine Meriah is replacing Vassilis Torosidis for the PAE Olympiakos SFP side.
  • 79' GOAL! Patrick Cutrone scores on 79. Assisted by Hakan Calhanoglu
  • 79' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Suso by Fabio Borini on 79 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for PAE Olympiakos SFP. Yaya Toure is replaced by Kostas Fortounis.
  • 87' It looks surprising PAE Olympiakos SFP does not make any changes. Yassine Meriah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 PAE Olympiakos SFP xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw24% PAE Olympiakos SFP21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or PAE Olympiakos SFP
45%
AC Milan or PAE Olympiakos SFP
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw42% PAE Olympiakos SFP19%
Actual: PAE Olympiakos SFP win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push PAE Olympiakos SFP covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
PAE Olympiakos SFP keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.