Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFPEurope .

Match Details

  • Referee Donald Robertson
  • Referee Francis Connor
  • Referee Sean Carr
  • Referee Steven McLean
  • Referee Bobby Madden

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals PAE Olympiakos SFP

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
27 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
20 Sep F91 Diddeleng A 1–0 W
16 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 1–3 L
20 Sep Real Betis Balompié H 0–0 D
30 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Burnley FC H 3–1 W
16 Aug FC Luzern A 3–1 W
09 Aug FC Luzern H 4–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Milan and PAE Olympiakos SFP has kicked off!
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and PAE Olympiakos SFP are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 14' The deadlock is broken! Guerrero gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
  • 19' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' The travelling PAE Olympiakos SFP supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Pape Abou Cisse.
  • 37' PAE Olympiakos SFP seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 42' Leonardo Koutris is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Samu Castillejo by Patrick Cutrone on 54 minute.
  • 55' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hakan Calhanoglu is hanging Giacomo Bonaventura on the field on 55 minute.
  • 56' Hakan Calhanoglu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' Suso has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 126 appearances.
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and PAE Olympiakos SFP are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 70' Patrick Cutrone is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 70' PAE Olympiakos SFP ring the changes. Matias Leiva has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Podence to step up.
  • 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
  • 76' What a moment for Gonzalo Higuain! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' PAE Olympiakos SFP manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yassine Meriah is hanging Vassilis Torosidis on the field on 77 minute.
  • 79' GOAL! Patrick Cutrone scores on 79. Assisted by Hakan Calhanoglu
  • 79' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Suso is replaced by Fabio Borini.
  • 82' Time for substitution for PAE Olympiakos SFP. Yaya Toure is replaced by Kostas Fortounis.
  • 87' Giannis Fetfatzidis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats PAE Olympiakos SFP

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 PAE Olympiakos SFP xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw24% PAE Olympiakos SFP21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or PAE Olympiakos SFP
45%
AC Milan or PAE Olympiakos SFP
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw42% PAE Olympiakos SFP19%
Actual: PAE Olympiakos SFP win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push PAE Olympiakos SFP covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
PAE Olympiakos SFP keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.