Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP, Europe 2018-19 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2018-19
Thu 4 Oct 2018 · 16:55 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs PAE Olympiakos SFP — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Donald Robertson
  • Referee Francis Connor
  • Referee Sean Carr
  • Referee Steven McLean
  • Referee Bobby Madden

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals PAE Olympiakos SFP

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 3–1 W
30 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 4–1 W
27 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
20 Sep F91 Diddeleng A 1–0 W
16 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 1–3 L
20 Sep Real Betis Balompié H 0–0 D
30 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Burnley FC H 3–1 W
16 Aug FC Luzern A 3–1 W
09 Aug FC Luzern H 4–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
PAE Olympiakos SFP this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PAE Olympiakos SFP
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PAE Olympiakos SFP
Roman Yaremchuk 1 G
Armando Gonzalez 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against PAE Olympiakos SFP. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' PAE Olympiakos SFP fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and PAE Olympiakos SFP are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 14' Guerrero adds to his 0 season tally! PAE Olympiakos SFP lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 19' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' The travelling PAE Olympiakos SFP supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' PAE Olympiakos SFP have won 123 goals from 96 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Pape Abou Cisse.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Samu Castillejo exits the field as Patrick Cutrone enters on 54.
  • 55' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Giacomo Bonaventura is replaced by Hakan Calhanoglu.
  • 56' Hakan Calhanoglu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 56.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gennaro Gattuso might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 66' It’s high time Andre Martins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' What a strike from Patrick Cutrone! The score is 1-1.
  • 70' Daniel Podence has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matias Leiva on 70 minute.
  • 75' Pepe Reina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 76' Gonzalo Higuain does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 77' It is a substitution in PAE Olympiakos SFP team. Vassilis Torosidis is replaced by Yassine Meriah on 77 minute.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Patrick Cutrone makes it 3-1.
  • 79' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabio Borini is hanging Suso on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' Kostas Fortounis gets the nod from PAE Olympiakos SFP. He replaces Yaya Toure and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats PAE Olympiakos SFP

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 PAE Olympiakos SFP xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan55% Draw24% PAE Olympiakos SFP21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or PAE Olympiakos SFP
45%
AC Milan or PAE Olympiakos SFP
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw42% PAE Olympiakos SFP19%
Actual: PAE Olympiakos SFP win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push PAE Olympiakos SFP covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
PAE Olympiakos SFP keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.