AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A .
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Referee Sergio Ranghetti
- Referee Alfonso Marrazzo
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Atalanta BC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | F91 Diddeleng | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | AS Roma | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | SSC Napoli | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 May | SS Lazio | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | AC Milan | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Sep | SPAL 2013 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Cagliari Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | FC København | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | AS Roma | A | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | FC København | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 70 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 53 | Scored | 51 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +18 | GD | +15 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 53% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
- 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gonzalo Higuain makes it 1-0.
- 7' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 17' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' Atalanta BC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Atalanta BC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Emiliano Rigoni is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mario Pasalic at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Davide Calabria gets a Yellow card.
- 54' Assisted by Duvan Zapata with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alejandro Gomez makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 59' Pierluigi Gollini needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' The deadlock is broken! Giacomo Bonaventura gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. Gonzalo Higuain is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 65.
- 67' Ignazio Abate gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Davide Calabria and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 74' AC Milan ring the changes. Giacomo Bonaventura has done his job and it is now time for Tiemoue Bakayoko to step up.
- 76' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Josip Ilicic comes on to replace Robin Gosens.
- 78' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a Yellow card on 78.
- 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
- 85' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Hakan Calhanoglu is replaced by Samu Castillejo.
- 90' Emiliano Rigoni makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Atalanta BC are in front.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Ignazio Abate 67'
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
- 5
- 8
- 10
- 21
- 9
Bench
- 90
-
20
Ignazio Abate ↑ 67'
- 17
- 4
- 11
- 96
- 93
- 16
- 25
- 56
-
14
Tiemoue Bakayoko ↑ 74'
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 85'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 95
- 5
- 2
- 21
- 6
- 10
- 11
-
8
Robin Gosens ↓ Josip Ilicic 76'
- 15
-
99
Musa Barrow ↓ Duvan Zapata 46'
-
88
Mario Pasalic ↓ Emiliano Rigoni 46'
Bench
- 1
- 31
- 33
- 23
-
72
Josip Ilicic ↑ 76'
- 53
- 20
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↑ 46'
- 19
- 22
- 4
-
24
Emiliano Rigoni ↑ 46'
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Ederson | 2 |
| Krzysztof Piatek | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or Atalanta BC
54%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.