Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
1 1
Full Time
Thu 27 Sep 2018 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Filippo Valeriani
  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Valentino Fiorito
  • Referee Francesco Fourneau

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AC Milan H 1–1 D
21 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–3 L
16 Sep SS Lazio H 0–1 L
02 Sep AC Chievo Verona A 0–0 D
26 Aug Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
19 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Empoli FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Atalanta BC H 2–2 D
20 Sep F91 Diddeleng A 1–0 W
16 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
31 Aug AS Roma H 2–1 W
25 Aug SSC Napoli A 2–3 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Empoli FC host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 10' Magnificent from Leonardo Capezzi! That is 2 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gennaro Gattuso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Davide Calabria on 45.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 53' Domenico Maietta was booked on 53.
  • 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leonardo Capezzi.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samu Castillejo made 515 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' Levan Mchedlidze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio La Gumina on 65 minute.
  • 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 71' GOAL! Francesco Caputo scores on 71.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Samu Castillejo. He replaces Hakan Calhanoglu on 73 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Leonardo Capezzi as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Rasmussen.
  • 78' Tiemoue Bakayoko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franck Kessie at the 78 minute mark.
  • 81' The Empoli FC manager makes a substitution. Hamed Junior Traore departs to be replaced by Matteo Brighi.
  • 83' Diego Laxalt is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Empoli FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC41% Draw30% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
Empoli FC or AC Milan
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC28% Draw51% AC Milan21%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
36%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.