Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FCChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
19 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Anthony Gordon 10 G 2 A
Harvey Barnes 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Newcastle United FC get us underway at Giuseppe Meazza.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Newcastle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Newcastle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' Elliot Anderson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Newcastle United FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 41' Davide Calabria was booked on 41.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Davide Calabria as he leaves the pitch. Alessandro Florenzi steps in for AC Milan.
  • 49' A moment of madness from Fabian Schar on 49 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Newcastle United FC will be frustrated.
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Newcastle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Samuel Chukwueze departs to be replaced by Christian Pulisic.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Jacob Murphy as he leaves the pitch. Callum Wilson steps in for Newcastle United FC.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Yunus Musah comes on to replace Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Marco Sportiello. He replaces Mike Maignan on 80 minute.
  • 81' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Mike Maignan by Marco Sportiello on 81 minute.
  • 82' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 82.
  • 83' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Olivier Giroud gets a Yellow card.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Rade Krunic is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Alexander Isak as he departs to be replaced by Harvey Barnes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw32% Newcastle United FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
AC Milan or Newcastle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw57% Newcastle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.