Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
19 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Giuseppe Meazza as AC Milan face off against Newcastle United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Marco Sportiello, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Malick Thiaw, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eddie Howe might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Sven Botman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' Davide Calabria was booked on 41.
  • 46' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Alessandro Florenzi comes on to replace Davide Calabria.
  • 49' A moment of madness from Fabian Schar on 49 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Newcastle United FC will be frustrated.
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Newcastle United FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Christian Pulisic. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 61 minute.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Newcastle United FC team. Jacob Murphy is replaced by Callum Wilson on 63 minute.
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Newcastle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Ruben Loftus-Cheek exits the field as Yunus Musah enters on 72.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Newcastle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marco Sportiello is hanging Mike Maignan on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Mike Maignan is withdrawn and Marco Sportiello gets his opportunity.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yunus Musah.
  • 83' Olivier Giroud picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' The 34-year-old Dan Burn has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rade Krunic.
  • 90' A change in the Newcastle United FC ranks — Alexander Isak exits the field as Harvey Barnes enters on 90.
  • The points are shared — AC Milan 0-0 Newcastle United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw32% Newcastle United FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
AC Milan or Newcastle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw57% Newcastle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.