Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium 53,419 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Alvarez 31' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Adrian Holmes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
11 Aug Burnley FC A 3–0 W
10 Jun FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
03 Jun Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
28 May Brentford FC A 0–1 L
24 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W
28 May Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
22 May Leicester City FC H 0–0 D
18 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–1 W
13 May Leeds United FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Newcastle United FC
#9 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts). Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC53% Draw35% Newcastle United FC12%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
47%
Manchester City FC or Newcastle United FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC29% Draw66% Newcastle United FC5%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
1.5%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1%
4 – 0
0.9%
2 – 2
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 14% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 31% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 8% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.