Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sun 4 Jun 2023 · 19:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FCSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Alessandro Giallatini
  • Referee Fabiano Preti

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
28 May Juventus FC A 1–0 W
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W
16 May FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun AC Milan A 1–3 L
28 May Empoli FC H 1–1 D
20 May Atalanta BC A 1–3 L
14 May Torino FC H 0–1 L
07 May US Lecce A 1–0 W
03 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–6 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Hellas Verona FC
#5 Position #19
70 Points 21
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 12 / 23
53 Scored 25
35 Conceded 61
+18 GD -36
1.84 PPG 0.55
53% Win % 8%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Hellas Verona FC are 19th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Hellas Verona FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Hellas Verona FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Theo Hernandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 20' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' The 32-year-old Rade Krunic has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' Oliver Abildgaard, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Olivier Giroud has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 49' Poor challenge from Giangiacomo Magnani. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 54' Rafael Leao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 38 Yellow cards this season.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Milan Duric as he leaves the pitch. Simone Verdi steps in for Hellas Verona FC.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ibrahim Sulemana.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Juan Cabal on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Isak Hien has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' What a moment for Davide Faraoni! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' A moment of madness from Fabio Depaoli on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Hellas Verona FC will be frustrated.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Hellas Verona FC. Cyril Ngonge is replaced by Adolfo Gaich.
  • 83' Davide Calabria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 515 appearances.
  • 84' Juan Cabal makes way for Pawel Dawidowicz at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hellas Verona FC.
  • 85' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 89' Antonio Mirante gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Mike Maignan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' Rafael Leao makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AC Milan are in front.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 3-1 Hellas Verona FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan71% Draw18% Hellas Verona FC11%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
29%
AC Milan or Hellas Verona FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan52% Draw38% Hellas Verona FC10%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
46%
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.