AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Hellas Verona FC 38 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Alessandro Giallatini
- Referee Fabiano Preti
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Juventus FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | UC Sampdoria | H | 5–1 | W |
| 16 May | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Spezia Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Hellas Verona FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #19 |
| 70 | Points | 21 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 3 / 12 / 23 |
| 53 | Scored | 25 |
| 35 | Conceded | 61 |
| +18 | GD | -36 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 0.55 |
| 53% | Win % | 8% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Hellas Verona FC are 19th (21 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Hellas Verona FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Hellas Verona FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Theo Hernandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 20' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' The 32-year-old Rade Krunic has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Oliver Abildgaard, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' Olivier Giroud has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 49' Poor challenge from Giangiacomo Magnani. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' Rafael Leao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 38 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' The crowd applauds Milan Duric as he leaves the pitch. Simone Verdi steps in for Hellas Verona FC.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ibrahim Sulemana.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Juan Cabal on 61 minutes.
- 66' Isak Hien has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 72' What a moment for Davide Faraoni! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 77' A moment of madness from Fabio Depaoli on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Hellas Verona FC will be frustrated.
- 78' Time for substitution for Hellas Verona FC. Cyril Ngonge is replaced by Adolfo Gaich.
- 83' Davide Calabria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 515 appearances.
- 84' Juan Cabal makes way for Pawel Dawidowicz at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hellas Verona FC.
- 85' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 89' Antonio Mirante gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Mike Maignan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 89.
- 90' Rafael Leao makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AC Milan are in front.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 3-1 Hellas Verona FC.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 10
- 23
-
16
Mike Maignan ↓ Antonio Mirante 89'
- 17
- 19
- 2
- 8
- 33
- 28
- 30
Bench
- 27
- 7
- 5
- 1
- 24
- 25
-
83
Antonio Mirante ↑ 89'
- 14
- 56
- 40
- 46
- 90
- 20
- 32
Hellas Verona FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 61
- 5
- 1
- 23
-
4
Miguel Veloso ↓ Darko Lazovic 59'
- 29
-
19
Milan Duric ↓ Simone Verdi 59'
-
26
Cyril Ngonge ↓ Adolfo Gaich 78'
-
32
Juan Cabal ↓ Pawel Dawidowicz 84'
- 6
- 77
Bench
- 34
- 2
- 10
-
7
Simone Verdi ↑ 59'
- 17
-
8
Darko Lazovic ↑ 59'
-
38
Adolfo Gaich ↑ 78'
- 22
- 3
-
28
Oliver Abildgaard ↑ 84'
- 24
- 25
- 30
- 42
-
27
Pawel Dawidowicz ↑ 84'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sandro Tonali | 5 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Davide Faraoni | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Antonin Barak | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Hellas Verona FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
29%
AC Milan or Hellas Verona FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Hellas Verona FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

