Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Chelsea FC, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

0 2
Full Time
Tue 11 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Chelsea FCChampions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Chelsea FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct Empoli FC A 3–1 W
18 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct AC Milan A 2–0 W
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
05 Oct AC Milan H 3–0 W
01 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–1 D
06 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome Chelsea FC for this crunch clash at San Siro.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Kovacic made 409 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Chelsea FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' AC Milan receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 20' Mason Mount is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 21' Jorginho has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
  • 24' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Olivier Giroud will be fuming at that decision.
  • 29' It’s a booking for Chelsea FC player. Raheem Sterling gets a Yellow card.
  • 32' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Matteo Gabbia will be fuming at that decision.
  • 33' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 33.
  • 34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang makes it 0-2.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rade Krunic.
  • 36' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rade Krunic on 36 minutes.
  • 37' The supporters are chanting for Sergino Dest. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 37 minute.
  • 42' Kai Havertz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Chelsea FC team. Mason Mount is replaced by Conor Gallagher on 46 minute.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past Chelsea FC's compact .
  • 61' Theo Hernandez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 65 Yellow cards this season.
  • 62' Azpilicueta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Reece James at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Chelsea FCRuben Loftus-Cheek on, Raheem Sterling off on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Tommaso Pobega picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Chelsea FCKai Havertz on, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang off on 79 minutes.
  • 80' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Theo Hernandez exits the field as Fode Ballo-Toure enters on 80.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 86' Conor Gallagher catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 86.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Sandro Tonali is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 89.
  • 89' A change in the Chelsea FC ranks — Ben Chilwell exits the field as Cucurella enters on 89.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Fode Ballo-Toure argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan25% Draw29% Chelsea FC46%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
54%
Draw or Chelsea FC
75%
AC Milan or Chelsea FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan17% Draw49% Chelsea FC34%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.