AC Milan vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at San Siro.
- AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Alejandro Hernandez
- Referee Ricardo de Burgos
- Referee Antonio Mateu
- Referee Pau Cebrian
- Referee Roberto del Palomar (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | AC Monza | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Chelsea FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Chelsea FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Sep | AC Milan | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Noah Okafor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 14' GOAL! Olivier Giroud fires home to make it 1-0!
- 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 24' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' Ciprian Tatarusanu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Rade Krunic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 39' FC Red Bull Salzburg have won 136 goals from 222 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 43' It’s a booking for FC Red Bull Salzburg player. Noah Okafor gets a Yellow card.
- 44' Noah Okafor picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The FC Red Bull Salzburg manager makes a substitution. Oumar Solet departs to be replaced by Bernardo.
- 46' The deadlock is broken! Rade Krunic gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Red Bull Salzburg. Chikwubuike Adamu is replaced by Benjamin Sesko.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lucas Douath on 61 minutes.
- 62' The crowd applauds Chikwubuike Adamu as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Sesko steps in for FC Red Bull Salzburg.
- 64' Fresh legs for FC Red Bull Salzburg! Dijon Kameri comes on to replace Lucas Douath.
- 69' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Rafael Leao is replaced by Junior Messias on 69 minute.
- 70' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Tommaso Pobega on, Ismael Bennacer off on 70 minutes.
- 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' The crowd applauds Noah Okafor as he leaves the pitch. Sekou Koita steps in for FC Red Bull Salzburg.
- 78' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Rade Krunic by Charles De Ketelaere on 78 minute.
- 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Matteo Gabbia. He replaces Pierre Kalulu on 86 minute.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Junior Messias 69'
- 1
- 12
- 19
- 24
- 8
- 33
- 4
-
20
Pierre Kalulu ↓ Matteo Gabbia 86'
Bench
- 27
- 10
-
5
Fode Ballo-Toure ↑ 78'
- 83
- 21
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 86'
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 78'
-
30
Junior Messias ↑ 69'
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 69'
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 39
-
22
Oumar Solet ↓ Bernardo 46'
-
77
Noah Okafor ↓ Sekou Koita 77'
- 31
- 18
-
27
Lucas Douath ↓ Dijon Kameri 64'
- 9
- 13
- 21
- 70
- 14
Bench
-
95
Bernardo ↑ 46'
-
17
Andreas Ulmer ↑ 77'
- 33
-
20
Sekou Koita ↑ 77'
- 24
- 2
- 23
- 1
- 4
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 61'
-
8
Dijon Kameri ↑ 64'
Coach
Matthias Jaissle
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Noah Okafor | 1 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 1 |
| Rade Krunic | 1 |
| Junior Messias | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
FC Red Bull Salzburg Form
2022-11-02
AC Milan
4–0
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2022-10-25
FC Red Bull Salzburg
1–2
Chelsea FC
L
2022-10-11
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
1–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
D
2022-10-05
FC Red Bull Salzburg
1–0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
W
2022-09-14
Chelsea FC
1–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
D
2022-09-06
FC Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
AC Milan
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.01
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
38%
AC Milan or FC Red Bull Salzburg
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | FC Red Bull Salzburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

