AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- FC Internazionale Milano 38 games · 87 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Giorgio Peretti
- Referee Filippo Meli
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
- Referee Giacomo Paganessi
- Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | Atalanta BC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Aug | Udinese Calcio | H | 4–2 | W |
| 22 May | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | AC Milan | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | US Cremonese | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Spezia Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | US Lecce | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 May | UC Sampdoria | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | FC Internazionale Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 70 | Points | 87 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 27 / 6 / 5 |
| 53 | Scored | 89 |
| 35 | Conceded | 35 |
| +18 | GD | +54 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 2.29 |
| 53% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at San Siro. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against FC Internazionale Milano.
- 5' FC Internazionale Milano come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 9' Theo Hernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
- 10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
- 15' FC Internazionale Milano is showing some good football. However, FC Internazionale Milano are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' FC Internazionale Milano seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 21' A goal from the Croatia international Marcelo Brozovic! He fires home on 21 to make it 0-1!
- 26' A quiet spell here at San Siro. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Leao makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 28.
- 29' Assisted by Sandro Tonali with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 31' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud.
- 32' A moment of madness from Olivier Giroud on 32 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 37' Hakan Calhanoglu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 51 cards already picked up this season.
- 39' Poor challenge from Marcelo Brozovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' It looks surprising FC Internazionale Milano does not make any changes. Joaquin Correa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Charles De Ketelaere on 51 minutes.
- 54' The deadlock is broken! Olivier Giroud gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
- 59' Sandro Tonali, a Italy , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 60' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' Brahim Diaz is replacing Charles De Ketelaere for the AC Milan side.
- 64' FC Internazionale Milano ring the changes. Nicolo Barella has done his job and it is now time for Henrikh Mkhitaryan to step up.
- 67' What composure from Edin Dzeko! The Bosnia-Herzegovina international strokes it home. 4-2.
- 71' FC Internazionale Milano player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 73' Divock Origi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Olivier Giroud on 73 minute.
- 77' Sandro Tonali has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 77.
- 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' The whistle greets Sandro Tonali as he departs to be replaced by Tommaso Pobega.
- 84' The crowd applauds Davide Calabria as he leaves the pitch. Simon Kjaer steps in for AC Milan.
- 85' A tactical swap from FC Internazionale Milano — Robin Gosens on, Matteo Darmian off on 85 minutes.
- 90' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Another three points for AC Milan.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Divock Origi 73'
- 23
- 16
- 17
- 19
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Simon Kjaer 84'
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Tommaso Pobega 83'
- 4
- 90
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 73'
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↑ 63'
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 84'
- 83
- 14
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 73'
- 40
- –
- 46
- 28
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 83'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
FC Internazionale Milano Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
36
Matteo Darmian ↓ Robin Gosens 84'
- 23
- 20
- 1
- 77
- 37
- 6
- 10
-
11
Joaquin Correa ↓ Edin Dzeko 64'
- 95
Bench
-
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan ↑ 64'
- 24
-
8
Robin Gosens ↑ 84'
-
9
Edin Dzeko ↑ 64'
- 21
- 12
-
33
Danilo D'Ambrosio ↑ 84'
- 5
- 15
-
32
Federico Dimarco ↑ 64'
- 14
Coach
Simone Inzaghi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 5 |
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 4 |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | 3 |
| Marcelo Brozovic | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Stefan de Vrij | 3 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
FC Internazionale Milano Form
2022-09-03
AC Milan
3–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2022-08-30
FC Internazionale Milano
3–1
US Cremonese
W
2022-08-26
SS Lazio
3–1
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2022-08-20
FC Internazionale Milano
3–0
Spezia Calcio
W
2022-08-13
US Lecce
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
W
2022-05-22
FC Internazionale Milano
3–0
UC Sampdoria
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
54%
AC Milan or FC Internazionale Milano
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | FC Internazionale Milano covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

