Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sat 3 Sep 2022 · 16:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FC Internazionale MilanoSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Giorgio Peretti
  • Referee Filippo Meli
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
  • Referee Giacomo Paganessi
  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W
30 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–0 D
27 Aug Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
21 Aug Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
13 Aug Udinese Calcio H 4–2 W
22 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Sep AC Milan A 2–3 L
30 Aug US Cremonese H 3–1 W
26 Aug SS Lazio A 1–3 L
20 Aug Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
13 Aug US Lecce A 2–1 W
22 May UC Sampdoria H 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan FC Internazionale Milano
#5 Position #1
70 Points 87
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 27 / 6 / 5
53 Scored 89
35 Conceded 35
+18 GD +54
1.84 PPG 2.29
53% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw23% FC Internazionale Milano31%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
54%
AC Milan or FC Internazionale Milano
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan31% Draw41% FC Internazionale Milano28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FC Internazionale Milano covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
20%
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.