AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Matteo Passeri
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Ciro Carbone
9 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | AS Roma | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | SSC Napoli | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 May | SS Lazio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 May | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Torino FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Aug | Torino FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Albania | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Apr | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 24 | Points | 27 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 8 / 3 / 0 |
| 23 | Scored | 31 |
| 13 | Conceded | 10 |
| +10 | GD | +21 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 2.45 |
| 64% | Win % | 73% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
55%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 8 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Mora | 4 G | |
| Matias Soule | 3 G | 3 A |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 3 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. AS Roma get us underway at .
- 5' AS Roma is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Robin Olsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 20' Edin Dzeko is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Roma so far.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and AS Roma are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' What composure from Franck Kessie! The Ivory Coast international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Marcano is replaced by Stephan El Shaarawy.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' Against the run of play, Federico Fazio has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 64' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 68' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bryan Cristante is hanging Javier Pastore on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' Marcano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 76' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Ricardo Rodriguez by Diego Laxalt on 76 minute.
- 77' The referee calls foul for Bryan Cristante. He receives a Yellow card.
- 77' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Rick Karsdorp is withdrawn and Davide Santon gets his opportunity.
- 81' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Hakan Calhanoglu by Samu Castillejo on 81 minute.
- 84' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Giacomo Bonaventura is withdrawn and Patrick Cutrone gets his opportunity.
- 88' Daniele De Rossi is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' What a moment for Patrick Cutrone! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
- 2-1 the final result. AS Roma will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
- 5
- 8
- 10
- 21
- 9
Bench
- 90
- 20
- 4
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 84'
- 11
- 33
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 76'
- 91
- 25
- 56
- 14
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 81'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
- 42
- 44
- 20
- 11
- 16
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Davide Santon 77'
- 9
- 14
- 27
- 1
-
15
Marcano ↓ Stephan El Shaarawy 46'
Bench
- 63
- 5
- 3
- 17
- 7
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 46'
-
4
Bryan Cristante ↑ 68'
-
18
Davide Santon ↑ 77'
- 22
- 34
- 19
- 77
Coach
Eusebio Di Francesco
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or AS Roma 75% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or AS Roma
59%
AC Milan or AS Roma
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.