AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Matteo Passeri
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Ciro Carbone
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | AS Roma | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | SSC Napoli | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 May | SS Lazio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 May | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 May | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Torino FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Aug | Torino FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Albania | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Apr | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Apr | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 14 |
| 4 | Conceded | 3 |
| +6 | GD | +11 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 2.60 |
| 60% | Win % | 80% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
60%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AS Roma are 1st (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 6 G | |
| Matias Soule | 2 G | 1 A |
| Manu Kone | 2 G | |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 2 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, AS Roma does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Hakan Calhanoglu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Federico Fazio, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Biglia made 517 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' What a moment for Franck Kessie! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 46' The crowd applauds Marcano as he leaves the pitch. Stephan El Shaarawy steps in for AS Roma.
- 51' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 59' Federico Fazio does the damage! The net is bulging and AS Roma surge ahead!
- 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 68' The whistle greets Javier Pastore as he departs to be replaced by Bryan Cristante.
- 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 530 games and scored 617 goals.
- 76' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Laxalt is hanging Ricardo Rodriguez on the field on 76 minute.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Bryan Cristante on 77 minutes.
- 77' The whistle greets Rick Karsdorp as he departs to be replaced by Davide Santon.
- 81' The crowd applauds Hakan Calhanoglu as he leaves the pitch. Samu Castillejo steps in for AC Milan.
- 84' Patrick Cutrone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giacomo Bonaventura on 84 minute.
- 88' Poor challenge from Daniele De Rossi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Against the run of play, Patrick Cutrone has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
- 5
- 8
- 10
- 21
- 9
Bench
- 90
- 20
- 4
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 84'
- 11
- 33
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 76'
- 91
- 25
- 56
- 14
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 81'
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
- 42
- 44
- 20
- 11
- 16
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Davide Santon 77'
- 9
- 14
- 27
- 1
-
15
Marcano ↓ Stephan El Shaarawy 46'
Bench
- 63
- 5
- 3
- 17
- 7
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 46'
-
4
Bryan Cristante ↑ 68'
-
18
Davide Santon ↑ 77'
- 22
- 34
- 19
- 77
Coach
Eusebio Di Francesco
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Edin Dzeko | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or AS Roma 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
69%
Draw or AS Roma
59%
AC Milan or AS Roma
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

