Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
2 1
Full Time
Fri 31 Aug 2018 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS RomaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Matteo Passeri
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Ciro Carbone
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

8
6
4
AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals AS Roma

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug AS Roma H 2–1 W
25 Aug SSC Napoli A 2–3 L
20 May SS Lazio H 0–1 L
13 May Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W
06 May Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Torino FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Aug Atalanta BC H 3–3 D
19 Aug Torino FC A 1–0 W
05 May Albania A 2–2 D
28 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid H 0–0 D
24 Apr FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#8 Position #6
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). AS Roma are 6th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • 5' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 10' Davide Santon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gennaro Gattuso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' Franck Kessie doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stephan El Shaarawy is hanging Marcano on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks surprising AS Roma does not make any changes. Kostas Manolas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' Federico Fazio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 68' AS Roma ring the changes. Javier Pastore has done his job and it is now time for Bryan Cristante to step up.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Ricardo Rodriguez departs to be replaced by Diego Laxalt.
  • 77' Bryan Cristante is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 77' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Davide Santon is hanging Rick Karsdorp on the field on 77 minute.
  • 81' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Hakan Calhanoglu is replaced by Samu Castillejo.
  • 84' Patrick Cutrone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giacomo Bonaventura at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Daniele De Rossi.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Patrick Cutrone makes it 2-1.
  • AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.8 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + AC Milan or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan42% Draw37% AS Roma21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or AS Roma
58%
AC Milan or AS Roma
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan22% Draw66% AS Roma12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.4%
1 – 0
19.6%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.4%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 25% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
59%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.