Thursday , 1 October 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, 2017

Serie A 2017/18 · 2017
Atalanta BC
3 – 2
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 20 Nov 2016 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Atalanta BC 2.05
Draw 3.40
AC Milan 3.75

Head-to-Head

7
8
9
Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2016-04-20 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC 2015-12-06 Atalanta BC 1–3 AC Milan 2015-02-08 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2014-09-21 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov AC Milan H 3–2 W
06 Nov Empoli FC A 1–1 D
30 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
26 Oct Indian Arrows A 1–4 L
22 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
15 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–1 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
06 Nov AC Chievo Verona H 0–3 L
30 Oct Cagliari Calcio A 1–2 L
26 Oct SS Lazio H 1–3 L
23 Oct SPAL 2013 A 1–1 D
16 Oct Torino FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atalanta BC to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 3-2 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Ederson 2
Krzysztof Piatek 2
Luis Muriel 2
Mario Pasalic 2

Head to Head

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2016-04-20 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC 2015-12-06 Atalanta BC 1–3 AC Milan 2015-02-08 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2014-09-21 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC

Atalanta BC Form

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan W 2016-11-06 Empoli FC 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2016-10-30 Atalanta BC 1–0 Udinese Calcio W 2016-10-26 Indian Arrows 4–1 Atalanta BC L 2016-10-22 Atalanta BC 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2016-10-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 Atalanta BC D

AC Milan Form

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan L 2016-11-06 AC Milan 0–3 AC Chievo Verona L 2016-10-30 Cagliari Calcio 2–1 AC Milan L 2016-10-26 AC Milan 1–3 SS Lazio L 2016-10-23 SPAL 2013 1–1 AC Milan D 2016-10-16 AC Milan 2–1 Torino FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC49% Draw26% AC Milan25%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC32% Draw47% AC Milan21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.