Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, 2017

Serie A 2017/18 · 2017
Atalanta BC
3 – 2
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 20 Nov 2016 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Atalanta BC 2.05
Draw 3.40
AC Milan 3.75

Head-to-Head

7
8
9
Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2016-04-20 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC 2015-12-06 Atalanta BC 1–3 AC Milan 2015-02-08 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2014-09-21 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov AC Milan H 3–2 W
06 Nov Empoli FC A 1–1 D
30 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W
26 Oct Indian Arrows A 1–4 L
22 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
15 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–1 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Nov Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
06 Nov AC Chievo Verona H 0–3 L
30 Oct Cagliari Calcio A 1–2 L
26 Oct SS Lazio H 1–3 L
23 Oct SPAL 2013 A 1–1 D
16 Oct Torino FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Ederson 2

Head to Head

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2016-04-20 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC 2015-12-06 Atalanta BC 1–3 AC Milan 2015-02-08 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2014-09-21 AC Milan 0–0 Atalanta BC

Atalanta BC Form

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan W 2016-11-06 Empoli FC 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2016-10-30 Atalanta BC 1–0 Udinese Calcio W 2016-10-26 Indian Arrows 4–1 Atalanta BC L 2016-10-22 Atalanta BC 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2016-10-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–1 Atalanta BC D

AC Milan Form

2016-11-20 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan L 2016-11-06 AC Milan 0–3 AC Chievo Verona L 2016-10-30 Cagliari Calcio 2–1 AC Milan L 2016-10-26 AC Milan 1–3 SS Lazio L 2016-10-23 SPAL 2013 1–1 AC Milan D 2016-10-16 AC Milan 2–1 Torino FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC49% Draw26% AC Milan25%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC32% Draw47% AC Milan21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.