Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Aug 2018 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Referee Gianluca Vuoto
  • Referee Stefano Del Giovane

Head-to-Head

7
5
6
SSC Napoli 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug AC Milan H 3–2 W
18 Aug SS Lazio A 2–1 W
05 May Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
28 Apr Romania H 1–1 D
21 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 3–0 W
14 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug SSC Napoli A 2–3 L
20 May SS Lazio H 0–1 L
13 May Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W
06 May Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Torino FC A 1–4 L
22 Apr Empoli FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#2 Position #5
76 Points 70
38 Played 38
23 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
58 Scored 53
36 Conceded 35
+22 GD +18
2.00 PPG 1.84
61% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between SSC Napoli and AC Milan.
  • 5' SSC Napoli are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Giacomo Bonaventura does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Jose Callejon, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Lorenzo Insigne catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 30.
  • 35' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' SSC Napoli are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Davide Calabria does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 53' Piotr Zielinski is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 58' A tactical swap from AC MilanTiemoue Bakayoko on, Lucas Biglia off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' SSC Napoli ring the changes. Marek Hamsik has done his job and it is now time for Dries Mertens to step up.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Ricardo Rodriguez. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' A stunning finish from Piotr Zielinski — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 71' Diego Laxalt is replacing Fabio Borini for the AC Milan side.
  • 72' Piotr Zielinski makes way for Amadou Diawara at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSC Napoli.
  • 73' Mario Rui makes way for Sebastiano Luperto at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSC Napoli.
  • 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. SSC Napoli and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 80' Dries Mertens is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 81' Giacomo Bonaventura makes way for Patrick Cutrone at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' SSC Napoli receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli52% Draw23% AC Milan25%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
48%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli37% Draw40% AC Milan23%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
24%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.