Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
3 – 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Aug 2018 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Referee Gianluca Vuoto
  • Referee Stefano Del Giovane

Head-to-Head

7
5
6
SSC Napoli 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug AC Milan H 3–2 W
18 Aug SS Lazio A 2–1 W
05 May Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
28 Apr Romania H 1–1 D
21 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 3–0 W
14 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug SSC Napoli A 2–3 L
20 May SS Lazio H 0–1 L
13 May Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W
06 May Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Torino FC A 1–4 L
22 Apr Empoli FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#9 Position #5
7 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
7 Scored 10
6 Conceded 4
+1 GD +6
1.40 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli45% Draw23% AC Milan32%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
69%
Draw or AC Milan
55%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli31% Draw41% AC Milan28%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.