Sunday , 18 October 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 18:00 UTC Francois Coty HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Francois Coty.

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
04 Nov Grenoble Foot 38 A 3–0 W
28 Oct US Concarneau A 1–2 L
21 Oct Pau FC H 2–0 W
07 Oct AS Saint-Etienne A 0–0 D
02 Oct SC Bastia H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
04 Nov SM Caen H 2–1 W
28 Oct Paris FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct US Concarneau H 0–0 D
07 Oct Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep AS Saint-Etienne H 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC get this one started.
  • 5' AC Ajaccio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The 27-year-old Luka Ilic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' Andreas Bruus has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jaures Assoumou on 13 minute.
  • 17' Maxime Chanot is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Yoann Touzghar has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' ES Troyes AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' AC Ajaccio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Abdu Conte made 513 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 47' France international Derek Mazou-Sacko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Ajaccio must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Riad Nouri. He replaces Valentin Jacob on 55 minute.
  • 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas de Preville. He replaces Andreas Bruus on 67 minute.
  • 68' It’s a booking for ES Troyes AC player. Abdoulaye N'Diaye gets a card.
  • 73' AC Ajaccio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben Hamed Toure is hanging Yoann Touzghar on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 450 games and scored 364 goals.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cedric Avinel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ES Troyes AC.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Yacine Bammou on 90 minutes earns him a card. AC Ajaccio will be frustrated.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Ajaccio players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio47% Draw29% ES Troyes AC24%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
75%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
53%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio29% Draw52% ES Troyes AC19%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.