Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade Francois-Coty HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes ACLigue 1 at Stade Francois-Coty.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Referee Mathieu Grosbost
  • Referee Huseyin Ocak
  • Referee Faouzi Benchabane
  • Referee Mikael Berchebru
  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
19 Feb FC Lorient A 0–3 L
10 Feb OGC Nice A 0–3 L
05 Feb FC Nantes H 0–2 L
01 Feb Angers SCO A 2–1 W
29 Jan Olympique Lyonnais H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
19 Feb Montpellier HSC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–4 L
04 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–3 L
01 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It looks surprising AC Ajaccio does not make any changes. Andreas Bruus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Ajaccio must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 23' The Guinea-Bissau Mama Balde breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 0-1!
  • 28' The travelling ES Troyes AC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Ajaccio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mathieu Coutadeur is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ES Troyes AC.
  • 43' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cyrille Bayala made 446 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Clement Vidal is booked for AC Ajaccio — Yellow card on 51.
  • 52' Clement Vidal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 52.
  • 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 62' Mohamed Youcef Belaili is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 67' Clement Vidal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ES Troyes AC so far.
  • 68' Mounaim El Idrissy makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and AC Ajaccio are in front.
  • 69' Brilliant from the forward! Mounaim El Idrissy makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 69.
  • 71' Mama Balde picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' ES Troyes AC receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 77' A moment of madness from Vincent Marchetti on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Ajaccio will be frustrated.
  • 79' Michael Barreto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cyrille Bayala on 79 minute.
  • 82' Another substitution for ES Troyes AC to replace Abdu Conte by Yasser Larouci on 82 minute.
  • 83' AC Ajaccio make a change. Mohamed Youcef Belaili trudges off to be replaced by Riad Nouri on 83 minutes.
  • 84' AC Ajaccio ring the changes. Clement Vidal has done his job and it is now time for Mickael Alphonse to step up.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rony Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Francois-Coty with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' Time for substitution for ES Troyes AC. Rony Lopes is replaced by Alexis Tibidi.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio44% Draw27% ES Troyes AC29%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
71%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
56%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio30% Draw47% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.