Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 1 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2022-23
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stade Francois-Coty HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Ajaccio vs ES Troyes ACLigue 1 at Stade Francois-Coty.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Referee Mathieu Grosbost
  • Referee Huseyin Ocak
  • Referee Faouzi Benchabane
  • Referee Mikael Berchebru
  • Referee Marc Bollengier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
19 Feb FC Lorient A 0–3 L
10 Feb OGC Nice A 0–3 L
05 Feb FC Nantes H 0–2 L
01 Feb Angers SCO A 2–1 W
29 Jan Olympique Lyonnais H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
19 Feb Montpellier HSC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Stade de Reims A 0–4 L
04 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–3 L
01 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Ajaccio host ES Troyes AC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Ismael Diallo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ES Troyes AC so far.
  • 10' Romain Hamouma, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' AC Ajaccio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ES Troyes AC backline.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Ajaccio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 23' A stunning finish from Mama Balde — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mathieu Coutadeur is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ES Troyes AC.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Ajaccio and ES Troyes AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Ajaccio in their trying to find a way past ES Troyes AC's compact .
  • 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' Clement Vidal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Clement Vidal argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 57' Cyrille Bayala has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 446 appearances.
  • 62' Mohamed Youcef Belaili doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Mounaim El Idrissy does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Ajaccio surge ahead!
  • 69' What composure from Mounaim El Idrissy! The France international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 71' Mama Balde has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Mama Balde on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Vincent Marchetti. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 79' Michael Barreto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cyrille Bayala at the 79 minute mark.
  • 82' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Abdu Conte has done his job and it is now time for Yasser Larouci to step up.
  • 83' Riad Nouri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohamed Youcef Belaili on 83 minute.
  • 84' A tactical swap from AC AjaccioMickael Alphonse on, Clement Vidal off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 90' Fresh legs for ES Troyes AC! Alexis Tibidi comes on to replace Rony Lopes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for ES Troyes AC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 AC Ajaccio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Ajaccio44% Draw27% ES Troyes AC29%
Actual: AC Ajaccio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Ajaccio or Draw
71%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
56%
AC Ajaccio or ES Troyes AC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Ajaccio30% Draw47% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Ajaccio

Handicap AC Ajaccio covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.