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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 18 Jan 2020 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Holger Henschel
3 games this season 🟨 7.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
17 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 0–4 L
07 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
02 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
21 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
18 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
14 Dec Hertha BSC A 0–1 L
07 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
01 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–4 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#6 Position #3
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 12
6 Conceded 3
+4 GD +9
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 496 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 15' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Achim Beierlorzer will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 26' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Ridle Baku gets a Yellow card.
  • 28' Brilliant from the ! Kwon Changhoon makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 28.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Janik Haberer is booked for SC Freiburg — Yellow card on 37.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Alexander Hack argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 41' Nils Petersen doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Ridle Baku has done his job and it is now time for Karim Onisiwo to step up.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Pierre Kunde on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vincenzo Grifo, as he is very good at scoring at Opel Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 70 minute. Ronael Pierre-Gabriel leaves to be changed by Daniel Brosinski.
  • 73' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Adam Szalai comes on to replace Levin Oztunali.
  • 74' Fresh legs for SC Freiburg! Mike Frantz comes on to replace Janik Haberer.
  • 75' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Kwon Changhoon departs to be replaced by Vincenzo Grifo.
  • 80' Aaron Martin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 81' Amir Abrashi was booked on 81.
  • 82' Jean-Philippe Mateta does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Lucas Holer as he leaves the pitch. Philipp Lienhart steps in for SC Freiburg.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. SC Freiburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw25% SC Freiburg46%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
55%
Draw or SC Freiburg
71%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw41% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.