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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 18 Jan 2020 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Holger Henschel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
17 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 0–4 L
07 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
02 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
21 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
18 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
14 Dec Hertha BSC A 0–1 L
07 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
01 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–4 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#16 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg get this one started.
  • 5' Germany international Ridle Baku has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Levin Oztunali made 436 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean-Philippe Mateta, as he is very good at scoring at Opel Arena with 14 goals in the last 9 games.
  • 25' Christian Gunter has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' Ridle Baku has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 26.
  • 28' Goal! Kwon Changhoon scores his 6 goal in 312 matches.
  • 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' Controversy at the stadium! Janik Haberer argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Alexander Hack. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 41' Nils Petersen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Karim Onisiwo. He replaces Ridle Baku on 46 minute.
  • 51' Pierre Kunde was booked on 51.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' SC Freiburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Ronael Pierre-Gabriel by Daniel Brosinski on 70 minute.
  • 73' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Adam Szalai on, Levin Oztunali off on 73 minutes.
  • 74' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Janik Haberer departs to be replaced by Mike Frantz.
  • 75' A change in the SC Freiburg ranks — Kwon Changhoon exits the field as Vincenzo Grifo enters on 75.
  • 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' SC Freiburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jean-Philippe Mateta makes it 1-2.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' Philipp Lienhart is replacing Lucas Holer for the SC Freiburg side.
  • Full Time. SC Freiburg beats 1. FSV Mainz 05

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.84 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + SC Freiburg or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw35% SC Freiburg33%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
67%
Draw or SC Freiburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw59% SC Freiburg21%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.8%
0 – 1
14.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 3
1.8%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 20% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 21% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
42%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.