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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 18 Jan 2020 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Holger Henschel
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
17 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 0–4 L
07 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
02 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–1 W
21 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
18 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
14 Dec Hertha BSC A 0–1 L
07 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
01 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–4 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#10 Position #7
40 Points 47
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
44 Scored 51
53 Conceded 57
-9 GD -6
1.18 PPG 1.38
29% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Opel Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Jean-Philippe Mateta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past SC Freiburg's compact .
  • 15' SC Freiburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lucas Holer scoring 1 goals.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Christian Streich will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' The 28-year-old Ridle Baku has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 26' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Ridle Baku will be fuming at that decision.
  • 28' GOAL! Kwon Changhoon fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' Janik Haberer picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexander Hack on 40.
  • 41' Nils Petersen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' Karim Onisiwo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ridle Baku on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Pierre Kunde is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christian Gunter made 493 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Ronael Pierre-Gabriel departs to be replaced by Daniel Brosinski.
  • 73' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Levin Oztunali by Adam Szalai on 73 minute.
  • 74' Another substitution for SC Freiburg to replace Janik Haberer by Mike Frantz on 74 minute.
  • 75' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Kwon Changhoon is replaced by Vincenzo Grifo.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Amir Abrashi is booked for SC Freiburg — Yellow card on 81.
  • 82' GOAL! Jean-Philippe Mateta scores on 82.
  • 82' Moussa Niakhate is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 87' SC Freiburg have won 469 goals from 493 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 90' Another substitution for SC Freiburg to replace Lucas Holer by Philipp Lienhart on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0538% Draw27% SC Freiburg35%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or SC Freiburg
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw43% SC Freiburg28%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.