Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 17 Aug 2019 · 13:30 UTC HT 45+3' · FT 45+2'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Referee Christian Leicher
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Gunter Perl
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
10 Aug 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FC Nurnberg H 5–1 W
11 May Hannover 96 A 0–3 L
05 May TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–1 D
27 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug SC Freiburg A 0–3 L
10 Aug 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–2 L
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–2 W
12 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–0 W
03 May RB Leipzig H 3–3 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#7 Position #10
47 Points 40
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
51 Scored 44
57 Conceded 53
-6 GD -9
1.38 PPG 1.18
38% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg50% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
50%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg36% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
27%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.