Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin, 2016

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Primera Division 2016/17 · 2016

Holstein Kiel

3 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Union Berlin

Thu 6 Apr 2017 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin — La Liga .

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Union Berlin 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Holstein Kiel 2.00

Draw 3.50

1. FC Union Berlin 3.75

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals 1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-06 Holstein Kiel 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2016-11-06 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2016-03-20 Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2015-11-07 1. FC Union Berlin 1–5 Holstein Kiel 2015-05-17 Holstein Kiel 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–2	W
02 Apr	Roundglass Punjab FC	H	3–0	W
19 Mar	FC Ingolstadt 04	A	2–4	L
11 Mar	FC Prishtina	H	1–1	D
05 Mar	Eintracht Braunschweig	A	0–3	L
28 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Holstein Kiel	A	2–3	L
03 Apr	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	H	3–1	W
19 Mar	Roundglass Punjab FC	A	1–0	W
12 Mar	Gokulam Kerala FC	H	0–1	L
04 Mar	FC Ingolstadt 04	A	0–5	L
01 Mar	FC Energie Cottbus	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Holstein Kiel host 1. FC Union Berlin — let the battle begin!
The points are shared — Holstein Kiel 3-2 1. FC Union Berlin. Honours even.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Rothe	1
Aljoscha Kemlein	1
Armin Gigovic	1

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

2017-04-06 Holstein Kiel 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2017-04-02 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Roundglass Punjab FC W 2017-03-19 FC Ingolstadt 04 4–2 Holstein Kiel L 2017-03-11 Holstein Kiel 1–1 FC Prishtina D 2017-03-05 Eintracht Braunschweig 3–0 Holstein Kiel L 2017-02-28 Holstein Kiel 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2017-04-06 Holstein Kiel 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2017-04-03 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena W 2017-03-19 Roundglass Punjab FC 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2017-03-12 1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Gokulam Kerala FC L 2017-03-04 FC Ingolstadt 04 5–0 1. FC Union Berlin L 2017-03-01 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Energie Cottbus D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.81 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 1. FC Union Berlin xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel51% Draw25% 1. FC Union Berlin24%

Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

76%

Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin

49%

Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Union Berlin

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel37% Draw44% 1. FC Union Berlin19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

8.3%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.