Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Sydney FC H 3–0 W
10 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 4–3 W
03 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC A 2–2 D
24 Nov Macarthur FC A 1–1 D
10 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–1 D
04 Nov Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 0–3 L
09 Dec Macarthur FC H 0–2 L
02 Dec Perth Glory FC H 3–2 W
25 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
11 Nov Adelaide United FC A 5–1 W
03 Nov Melbourne City FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Sydney FC
#4 Position #5
40 Points 39
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 25
+11 GD +8
1.54 PPG 1.50
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC is underway.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Patrick Wood, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' Sydney FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 20' Daniel Arzani has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
  • 24' What composure from Zinedine Machach! The Morocco international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 29' Joel King has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 215 appearances.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sydney FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' Sydney FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 47' Controversy at the stadium! Adama Traore argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 52' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sydney FC backline.
  • 56' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Fornaroli gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 58' The Sydney FC manager makes a substitution. Jake Girdwood-Reich departs to be replaced by Jaiden Kucharski.
  • 63' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Ben Folami is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 66.
  • 69' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Folami departs to be replaced by Chris Ikonomidis.
  • 70' Jordan Courtney-Perkins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Rodwell on 70 minute.
  • 71' Rhyan Grant was booked on 71.
  • 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ufuk Talay might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Daniel Arzani by Eli Adams on 82 minute.
  • 87' Nathan Amanatidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joe Lolley at the 87 minute mark.
  • 89' Bruno Fornaroli was booked on 89.
  • 90' Leigh Broxham is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Teague at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw25% Sydney FC21%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Sydney FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC36% Draw46% Sydney FC18%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.