Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Sydney FC

Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 44' Joel King

Adama Traore 47' Y

Jake Brimmer 56' Y

Ben Folami 66' Y

Y 71' Rhyan Grant

Bruno Fornaroli 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 22 games · Avg 3.2 goals Sydney FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-03-04 Sydney FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Sydney FC 2022-10-08 Sydney FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–0	W
10 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	4–3	W
03 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	2–2	D
24 Nov	Macarthur FC	A	1–1	D
10 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D

Sydney FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–3	L
09 Dec	Macarthur FC	H	0–2	L
02 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	3–2	W
25 Nov	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
11 Nov	Adelaide United FC	A	5–1	W
03 Nov	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Sydney FC
#4	Position	#5
40	Points	39
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 6 / 9
44	Scored	33
33	Conceded	25
+11	GD	+8
1.54	PPG	1.50
42%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sydney FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Sydney FC

Tiago Quintal	5 G	3 A
Al Hassan Toure	5 G	1 A
Campuzano	4 G	3 A
Joe Lolley	4 G	2 A
Patrick Wood	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to AAMI Park that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Jake Girdwood-Reich, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
20' What a strike from Daniel Arzani! The score is 1-0.
24' Assisted by Jake Brimmer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zinedine Machach makes no mistake. 2-0!
29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
34' Anthony Caceres is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sydney FC tonight.
39' Sydney FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
44' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joel King on 44.
47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adama Traore on 47 minutes.
52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' That looks like a foul for a card for Jake Brimmer.
57' Bruno Fornaroli adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
58' Sydney FC make a change. Jake Girdwood-Reich trudges off to be replaced by Jaiden Kucharski on 58 minutes.
63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
66' Ben Folami catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
69' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Ben Folami exits the field as Chris Ikonomidis enters on 69.
70' Sydney FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordan Courtney-Perkins is hanging Jack Rodwell on the field on 70 minute.
71' Sydney FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
76' Sydney FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
81' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
82' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Daniel Arzani is replaced by Eli Adams.
87' Joe Lolley makes way for Nathan Amanatidis at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sydney FC.
89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruno Fornaroli on 89 minutes.
90' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Ryan Teague is replaced by Leigh Broxham.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sydney FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Leigh Broxham ↑ 90'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 69'
2
Jason Geria ↑ 70'
24
Eli Adams ↑ 82'
40
Christian Siciliano
28
Franco Lino
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 82'

Coach Tony Popović

Sydney FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
Joe Lolley ↓ Nathan Amanatidis 87'
6
Jack Rodwell ↓ Jordan Courtney-Perkins 70'
23
Rhyan Grant ↓ Zachary de Jesus 87'
11
Robert Mak
26
Luke Brattan
17
Anthony Caceres
16
Joel King
20
Adam Pavlesic
15
Gabriel Lacerda
9
Fabio ↓ Patrick Wood 70'
8
Jake Girdwood-Reich ↓ Jaiden Kucharski 58'

Bench

Coach Ufuk Talay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Le Fondre	8
Kosta Barbarouses	5
Ola Toivonen	4
Milos Ninkovic	4
Zinedine Machach	3
Bobo	3
Bruno Fornaroli	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC W 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-12-03 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-11-24 Macarthur FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D

Sydney FC Form

2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC L 2023-12-09 Sydney FC 0–2 Macarthur FC L 2023-12-02 Sydney FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W 2023-11-25 Sydney FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2023-11-11 Adelaide United FC 1–5 Sydney FC W 2023-11-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Sydney FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Sydney FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw25% Sydney FC21%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Sydney FC

46%

Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC36% Draw46% Sydney FC18%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

9.1%

0 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

5.8%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Sydney FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.