Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 23 Dec 2023 · 04:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Casey Reibelt

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#8 Position #12
33 Points 21
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 15
36 Scored 27
48 Conceded 43
-12 GD -16
1.27 PPG 0.81
35% Win % 19%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Wellington Regional Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Marcelo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' David Ball is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wellington Phoenix FC so far.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Rufer.
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' Nicolas Milanovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 51' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Western Sydney Wanderers FC's shape.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Oscar Priestman, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Wellington Phoenix FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' The Western Sydney Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Valentino Yuel departs to be replaced by Alex Badolato.
  • 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 74' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Nicholas Pennington by Mohamed Al-Taay on 74 minute.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Milanovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Sam Sutton is replaced by Lukas Kelly-Heald on 78 minute.
  • 83' Wellington Phoenix FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kazuki Nagasawa scoring 1 goals.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Western Sydney Wanderers FC. Aidan Simmons is replaced by Tate Russell.
  • 87' The whistle greets Marcus Antonsson as he departs to be replaced by Lachlan Brook.
  • 90' A change in the Wellington Phoenix FC ranks — Kosta Barbarouses exits the field as Isaac Hughes enters on 90.
  • With this win, Wellington Phoenix FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC48% Draw26% Western Sydney Wanderers FC26%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
52%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC32% Draw47% Western Sydney Wanderers FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.