Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–1 D
25 Oct Sydney FC A 0–2 L
19 Oct Newcastle United Jets FC H 3–2 W
02 May Brisbane Roar FC H 1–2 L
20 Apr Macarthur FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC A 0–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–2 D
04 May Perth Glory FC H 0–2 L
26 Apr Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Central Coast Mariners FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#9 Position #8
32 Points 33
26 Played 26
8 / 8 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
35 Scored 36
42 Conceded 48
-7 GD -12
1.23 PPG 1.27
31% Win % 35%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Central Coast Mariners FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Central Coast Mariners FC42% Draw26% Wellington Phoenix FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
58%
Central Coast Mariners FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Central Coast Mariners FC31% Draw44% Wellington Phoenix FC25%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Central Coast Mariners FC

Handicap Central Coast Mariners FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.