Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 17 Oct 2025 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Sydney FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Casey Reibelt
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Sydney FC H 2–1 W
26 Apr Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
22 Apr Brisbane Roar FC A 1–1 D
18 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Perth Glory FC A 1–4 L
05 Apr Sydney FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct Adelaide United FC A 1–2 L
03 May Melbourne City FC A 1–5 L
27 Apr Western United FC A 0–1 L
20 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Auckland FC H 2–2 D
05 Apr Adelaide United FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Sydney FC
#2 Position #5
43 Points 39
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
46 Scored 33
36 Conceded 25
+10 GD +8
1.65 PPG 1.50
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.83 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Sydney FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC44% Draw25% Sydney FC31%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Sydney FC
56%
Adelaide United FC or Sydney FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC33% Draw41% Sydney FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.