Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Auckland FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Auckland FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–2 D
04 May Perth Glory FC H 0–2 L
26 Apr Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
25 Oct Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
18 Oct Melbourne Victory FC A 0–0 D
03 May Western United FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Perth Glory FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Auckland FC
#8 Position #3
33 Points 42
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 6
36 Scored 42
48 Conceded 29
-12 GD +13
1.27 PPG 1.62
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Auckland FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Auckland FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC22% Draw24% Auckland FC54%
Actual: Auckland FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Auckland FC
78%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Auckland FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC17% Draw41% Auckland FC42%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Auckland FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.