Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 38,120 HT 45' · FT 45'
Niall Huggins 43' 1–0
Abdoullah Ba 62' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FCChampionship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Watford FC H 2–0 W
29 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
24 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 3–1 W
16 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Southampton FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 2–3 L
23 Sep Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Coventry City FC A 3–3 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sunderland AFC and Watford FC is underway.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 20' The 24-year-old Ismael Kone has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeremy Ngakia made 341 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 42' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' Niall Huggins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Ince is replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 46 minute.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mason Burstow on 50 minutes.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sunderland AFC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Dele-Bashiru is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 58.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Abdoullah Ba makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Ismael Kone. He replaces Tom Dele-Bashiru on 65 minute.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Adil Aouchiche. He replaces Patrick Roberts on 70 minute.
  • 74' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniel Bachmann.
  • 76' Watford FC make a change. Imran Louza trudges off to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryan Andrews, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium of Light with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Ryan Porteous on 83 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 87' Poor challenge from Ryan Andrews. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Nazarii Rusyn. He replaces Jack Clarke on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.77 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC57% Draw24% Watford FC19%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Sunderland AFC or Watford FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC39% Draw45% Watford FC16%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.