Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 38,120 HT 45' · FT 45'
Niall Huggins 43' 1–0
Abdoullah Ba 62' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Watford FC H 2–0 W
29 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
24 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 3–1 W
16 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Southampton FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 2–3 L
23 Sep Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Coventry City FC A 3–3 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Watford FC gets underway.
  • 5' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadium of Light. Sunderland AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Daniel Ballard has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Ince made 380 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 32' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' Niall Huggins puts Sunderland AFC on the lead.
  • 46' Watford FC ring the changes. Tom Ince has done his job and it is now time for Yaser Asprilla to step up.
  • 50' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a Yellow card on 50.
  • 55' Sunderland AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 58' Poor challenge from Tom Dele-Bashiru. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 62' Abdoullah Ba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 65' Ismael Kone gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Tom Dele-Bashiru and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Another substitution for Sunderland AFC to replace Patrick Roberts by Adil Aouchiche on 70 minute.
  • 74' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 74.
  • 76' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mileta Rajovic is hanging Imran Louza on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Mowbray might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Porteous on 83.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Ryan Andrews on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The Sunderland AFC manager makes a substitution. Jack Clarke departs to be replaced by Nazarii Rusyn.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.77 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC57% Draw24% Watford FC19%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Sunderland AFC or Watford FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC39% Draw45% Watford FC16%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.