Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Watford FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 5' Riley McGree

0–2 12' Riley McGree

Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' 1–2

Wesley Hoedt 52' 2–2

2–3 63' Josh Coburn

Ryan Porteous 40' Y

Francisco Sierralta 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Langford
Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 17.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 Watford FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC 2023-01-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Watford FC 2022-08-30 Watford FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC 2021-04-05 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Watford FC 2020-09-11 Watford FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Middlesbrough FC	H	2–3	L
23 Sep	Leeds United FC	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–2	D
16 Sep	Birmingham City FC	H	2–0	W
02 Sep	Coventry City FC	A	3–3	D
27 Aug	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–1	L

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Watford FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Southampton FC	H	2–1	W
19 Sep	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–2	L
02 Sep	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Watford FC		Middlesbrough FC
#20	Position	#2
15	Points	29
15	Played	15
4 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 5 / 2
13	Scored	30
23	Conceded	19
-10	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.93
27%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

5/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/4

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear	13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry	3 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Vicarage Road will turn into a battlefield for Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC.
5' Magnificent from Riley McGree! That is 37 goals in 212 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
10' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
12' GOAL! Riley McGree scores on 12. Assisted by Matt Crooks
17' Rav van den Berg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
19' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo fires home to make it 1-2!
24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Valerien Ismael might look to freshen things up shortly.
29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
34' Middlesbrough FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
36' Tom Smith is replacing Lewis O'Brien for the Middlesbrough FC side.
37' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Tom Smith comes on to replace Lewis O'Brien.
40' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryan Porteous on 40 minutes.
45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Mileta Rajovic is replaced by Matheus Martins.
51' It’s high time Michael Carrick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
52' What an equalizer from Wesley Hoedt!
55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Francisco Sierralta on 55 minutes.
60' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
63' Josh Coburn adds to his 2 season tally! Middlesbrough FC lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
65' Another change for Watford FC made on 65 minute. Francisco Sierralta leaves to be changed by Edo Kayembe.
70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
75' Sam Greenwood has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 368 appearances.
78' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Isaiah Jones is replaced by Marcus Forss on 78 minute.
83' Daniel Bachmann has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
84' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Rhys Healey on 84 minute.
86' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Sam Greenwood on, Matt Crooks off on 86 minutes.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 2-3 Middlesbrough FC.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

14
Rhys Healey ↑ 84'
26
Ben Hamer
7
Tom Ince ↑ 65'
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 65'
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 65'
15
Matthew Pollock
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 46'
11
Ismael Kone
45
Ryan Andrews

Coach Valerien Ismael

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ismaila Sarr	3
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	2
Riley McGree	2
Morgan Whittaker	2
Tommy Conway	2
Wesley Hoedt	2
Craig Cathcart	1
Alex Bangura	1

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2023-09-30 Watford FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2023-09-23 Leeds United FC 3–0 Watford FC L 2023-09-20 Watford FC 2–2 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2023-09-16 Watford FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC W 2023-09-02 Coventry City FC 3–3 Watford FC D 2023-08-27 Watford FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L

Middlesbrough FC Form

2023-09-30 Watford FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2023-09-23 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Southampton FC W 2023-09-19 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2023-09-16 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2023-09-02 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Queens Park Rangers FC L 2023-08-26 West Bromwich Albion FC 4–2 Middlesbrough FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC28% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC46%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

72%

Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Watford FC21% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC36%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.5%

0 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

6.3%

0 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 3

5.7%

1 – 0

4.8%

0 – 3

4.5%

2 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	14%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	21%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.