Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Oliver Langford
- Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 6.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Coventry City FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Watford FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Southampton FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #3 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 16 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| -3 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Vicarage Road that hosts another battle between Watford FC and Middlesbrough FC.
- 5' Against the run of play, Riley McGree has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 10' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 12' Magnificent from Riley McGree! That is 36 goals in 208 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 19' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 24' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 36' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Tom Smith comes on to replace Lewis O'Brien.
- 37' Tom Smith is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis O'Brien at the 37 minute mark.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ryan Porteous.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Matheus Martins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mileta Rajovic at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Middlesbrough FC is showing some good football. However, Middlesbrough FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 52' Wesley Hoedt does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
- 55' Francisco Sierralta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
- 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tom Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
- 63' Against the run of play, Josh Coburn has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Edo Kayembe. He replaces Francisco Sierralta on 65 minute.
- 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
- 75' Francisco Sierralta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 382 appearances.
- 78' Marcus Forss has so much to prove this time. He replaces Isaiah Jones on 78 minute.
- 83' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 84' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Tom Dele-Bashiru is replaced by Rhys Healey on 84 minute.
- 86' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Matt Crooks is replaced by Sam Greenwood.
- Watford FC will have plenty to reflect on. Middlesbrough FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 3
- 1
- 5
- 19
- 10
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Rhys Healey 84'
- 2
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Tom Ince 65'
- 9
Bench
-
14
Rhys Healey ↑ 84'
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 65'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 65'
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 65'
- 15
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 46'
- 11
- 45
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 6
-
28
Lewis O'Brien ↓ Tom Smith 36'
- 1
- 8
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Marcus Forss 78'
- 7
- 3
- 19
-
25
Matt Crooks ↓ Sam Greenwood 86'
- 16
Bench
- 10
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 78'
- 4
- 9
- 23
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↑ 86'
- 18
- 27
-
2
Tom Smith ↑ 36'
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| James Abankwah | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2023-09-30
Watford FC
2–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
2023-09-23
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Southampton FC
W
2023-09-19
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2023-09-16
Blackburn Rovers FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-09-02
Middlesbrough FC
0–2
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2023-08-26
West Bromwich Albion FC
4–2
Middlesbrough FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
68%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

