Sunday , 15 November 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness 26' 1–0
1–1 54' Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Adam Crysell
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Watford FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Rotherham United FC H 2–0 W
24 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
19 Sep Coventry City FC H 3–2 W
16 Sep Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 2–3 L
23 Sep Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC Watford FC
#14 Position #20
18 Points 15
15 Played 15
4 / 6 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 8
27 Scored 13
27 Conceded 23
+0 GD -10
1.20 PPG 1.00
27% Win % 27%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 14th (18 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
9/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
5/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
Jack Moylan 10 G 3 A
Yousef Salech 5 G 1 A
Cian Ashford 2 G 2 A
Rubin Colwill 1 G 1 A
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Cardiff City Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cardiff City FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ollie Tanner, as he is very good at scoring at Cardiff City Stadium with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Tom Ince is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' The deadlock is broken! Mark McGuinness gets on the scoresheet on 26 minutes.
  • 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erol Bulut will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cardiff City FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' Watford FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Cardiff City FC is showing some good football. However, Cardiff City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' GOAL! Vakoun Issouf Bayo fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 58' Callum Robinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Ralls on 58 minute.
  • 59' Watford FC make a change. Tom Dele-Bashiru trudges off to be replaced by Imran Louza on 59 minutes.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Francisco Sierralta as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Porteous steps in for Watford FC.
  • 65' That is a Yellow card for Watford FC. Jamal Lewis will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Cardiff City FC make a change. Ollie Tanner trudges off to be replaced by Josh Bowler on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Jeremy Ngakia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cardiff City FC that had 386 games and scored 419 goals.
  • 85' Mileta Rajovic is replacing Matheus Martins for the Watford FC side.
  • 87' The whistle greets Ike Ugbo as he departs to be replaced by Romaine Sawyers.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.95 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC57% Draw24% Watford FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Cardiff City FC or Watford FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC42% Draw43% Watford FC15%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.