Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness 26' 1–0
1–1 54' Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Adam Crysell
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Watford FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Rotherham United FC H 2–0 W
24 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
19 Sep Coventry City FC H 3–2 W
16 Sep Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 2–3 L
23 Sep Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
16 Sep Birmingham City FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC Watford FC
#20 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 20th (0 pts). Watford FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Cardiff City FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Cardiff City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Matheus Martins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 20' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Goal! Mark McGuinness scores his 12 goal in 358 matches.
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cardiff City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Cardiff City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 39' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Francisco Sierralta gets a Yellow card.
  • 44' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Jake Livermore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' What a strike from Vakoun Issouf Bayo! The score is 1-1.
  • 58' The whistle greets Joe Ralls as he departs to be replaced by Callum Robinson.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Watford FCImran Louza on, Tom Dele-Bashiru off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Watford FC make a change. Francisco Sierralta trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Porteous on 64 minutes.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jamal Lewis.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Valerien Ismael will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FCJosh Bowler on, Ollie Tanner off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cardiff City FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 85' Watford FC make a change. Matheus Martins trudges off to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic on 85 minutes.
  • 87' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Ike Ugbo departs to be replaced by Romaine Sawyers.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.87 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC45% Draw37% Watford FC18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Watford FC
55%
Cardiff City FC or Watford FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC25% Draw66% Watford FC9%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30%
1 – 0
22.3%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 27% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.