Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Jamal Lowe pen
0–2 57' Matt Grimes
0–3 79' Mykola Kukharevych

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Richard Wild
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Leach

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Swansea City AFC H 0–3 L
23 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
20 Sep Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
17 Sep Leeds United FC H 0–3 L
02 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Millwall FC A 3–0 W
23 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
19 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
16 Sep Cardiff City FC A 0–2 L
02 Sep Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
26 Aug Preston North End FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Swansea City AFC
#3 Position #11
83 Points 64
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
64 Scored 57
49 Conceded 59
+15 GD -2
1.80 PPG 1.39
52% Win % 39%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.27 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Swansea City AFC 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw30% Swansea City AFC35%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
65%
Millwall FC or Swansea City AFC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw48% Swansea City AFC26%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.